Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed360201d30bd1a6daee58773de2e05f89a7b14cc2aaf58cd38a1056db3751d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Djokovic, Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,190,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,323,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,190,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Djokovic | 18c | 68,877$12,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,670.61 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Alcaraz | 76c | 60,000$45,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Djokovic | 24c | 50,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Alcaraz | 76c | 50,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Djokovic | 21c | 47,447$10,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,107.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Alcaraz | 76c | 46,412$35,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,138.78 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Alcaraz | 76c | 35,000$26,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,508.81 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Djokovic | 24c | 31,726$7,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.22 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Djokovic | 20c | 30,865$6,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,322.24 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Djokovic | 4c | 29,171$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.83 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 21c | 27,559$5,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.68 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…ad53backed Djokovic | 24c | 23,627$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Alcaraz | 76c | 20,666$15,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Djokovic | 17c | 18,454$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.32 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Djokovic | 24c | 18,095$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Djokovic | 22c | 15,738$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.5 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Alcaraz | 76c | 15,633$11,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.5 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0200backed Djokovic | 25c | 13,200$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Djokovic | 14c | 11,781$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.43 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Djokovic | 24c | 11,360$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.42 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Djokovic | 23c | 11,157$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Alcaraz | 77c | 10,776$8,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Alcaraz | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Alcaraz | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Djokovic | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.97 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…b3debacked Djokovic | 15c | 9,500$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…b5a8backed Djokovic | 21c | 8,014$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Alcaraz | 77c | 7,907$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.61 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Djokovic | 23c | 7,613$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.03 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Alcaraz | 77c | 7,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Alcaraz | 77c | 6,484$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…95f8backed Djokovic | 7c | 5,833$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…8922backed Djokovic | 4c | 5,625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Alcaraz | 79c | 5,604$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Djokovic | 19c | 5,505$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.31 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Alcaraz | 77c | 5,195$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Alcaraz | 77c | 5,152$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.29 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…69e7backed Alcaraz | 77c | 4,855$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc184…4cc0backed Djokovic | 14c | 4,717$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Djokovic | 15c | 4,543$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Djokovic | 16c | 4,417$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.97 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Djokovic | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ec12backed Djokovic | 24c | 4,163$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…2283backed Djokovic | 4c | 4,155$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Djokovic | 17c | 4,126$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Alcaraz | 74c | 4,053$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.74 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Alcaraz | 76c | 3,610$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Alcaraz | 76c | 3,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Djokovic | 23c | 3,232$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Djokovic | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Djokovic | 12c | 2,758$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Djokovic | 15c | 2,692$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…a85abacked Djokovic | 13c | 2,611$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…74e8backed Alcaraz | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Djokovic | 3c | 2,567$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae9…c02ebacked Djokovic | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Alcaraz | 77c | 2,388$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.16 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Djokovic | 13c | 2,271$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Djokovic | 24c | 2,265$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.71 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Djokovic | 23c | 2,250$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.49 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Djokovic | 24c | 2,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Djokovic | 25c | 2,124$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.81 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Alcaraz | 77c | 2,100$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d6…5708backed Djokovic | 24c | 2,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Djokovic | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed Djokovic | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Djokovic | 3c | 2,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…52bdbacked Djokovic | 24c | 1,822$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…b46cbacked Djokovic | 24c | 1,800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Djokovic | 24c | 1,740$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.57 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…1e7bbacked Djokovic | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 31cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Alcaraz | 76c | 1,650$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alcaraz | 77c | 1,626$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.88 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…e410backed Alcaraz | 78c | 1,578$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Alcaraz | 77c | 1,550$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Djokovic | 20c | 1,543$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584a…8270backed Djokovic | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Djokovic | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Djokovic | 15c | 1,490$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…98d5backed Djokovic | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Djokovic | 24c | 1,415$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Alcaraz | 77c | 1,359$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Djokovic | 25c | 1,350$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…748cbacked Djokovic | 15c | 1,318$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Djokovic | 3c | 1,300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Djokovic | 10c | 1,289$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Alcaraz | 76c | 1,283$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…efacbacked Djokovic | 4c | 1,258$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…adf8backed Djokovic | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Alcaraz | 77c | 1,200$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Djokovic | 15c | 1,136$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Djokovic | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Alcaraz | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Alcaraz | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Djokovic | 17c | 1,035$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Djokovic | 23c | 1,005$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Djokovic | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Djokovic | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Djokovic | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Djokovic | 16c | 940$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.