TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x350d…b898

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$108.36
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$126.67
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$57.05
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.12
Browns vs. Cowboysbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$347.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$39.4
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-10.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$250
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Florida vs. Miamibacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Auburn vs. Oklahomabacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Texas Tech vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Utah (-3.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Illinois vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$281.11
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.26
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Kansas Jayhawks vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$220
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+65.9%+$44.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$19.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$12.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu meet with Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$201.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.