NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3346ce8dea0d6aa3d64696e0c997db6888e52c492117c8c9bab750937baeab20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Bengals, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,491,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,547,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,491,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Bengals | 69c | 725,697$497,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,718.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Browns | 31c | 142,555$44,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,192.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Browns | 31c | 116,480$36,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,242.4 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Browns | 34c | 104,796$35,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,287.2 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals | 69c | 78,864$54,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,319.06 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Browns | 31c | 78,784$24,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,771.48 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Browns | 32c | 70,076$22,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,424.29 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Bengals | 68c | 51,998$35,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,549.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Browns | 30c | 51,263$15,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,489.2 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Browns | 32c | 44,975$14,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,287.79 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Browns | 35c | 42,303$14,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,619.71 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Browns | 33c | 40,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.58 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Browns | 32c | 36,357$11,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,470.77 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Browns | 31c | 36,150$11,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,318 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Browns | 32c | 30,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Browns | 31c | 30,000$9,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,374.98 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Browns | 32c | 26,024$8,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,327.68 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Browns | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Browns | 31c | 24,893$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.55 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Bengals | 67c | 23,635$15,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.61 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Browns | 32c | 20,814$6,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660.62 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Browns | 29c | 19,144$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.43 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Browns | 31c | 17,054$5,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258.88 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bengals | 71c | 16,474$11,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.19 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Browns | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Browns | 31c | 13,312$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.72 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Bengals | 50c | 12,848$6,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Browns | 32c | 12,643$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Browns | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.97 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 32c | 10,507$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.24 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Browns | 32c | 9,375$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Bengals | 75c | 8,118$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bengals | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Browns | 31c | 6,908$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.01 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0357backed Browns | 32c | 6,255$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bengals | 73c | 6,133$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.04 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Bengals | 68c | 6,133$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.88 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bengals | 68c | 5,923$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.98 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Bengals | 66c | 4,685$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.77 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Browns | 36c | 4,549$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.85 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Browns | 32c | 4,434$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…9340backed Bengals | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Browns | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Bengals | 68c | 3,899$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.76 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Browns | 31c | 3,870$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.7 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Browns | 32c | 3,799$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed Browns | 32c | 3,755$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Browns | 32c | 3,502$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.03 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Browns | 42c | 3,404$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Browns | 32c | 3,300$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Bengals | 70c | 3,199$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Browns | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5627…dd9cbacked Bengals | 68c | 2,940$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Browns | 31c | 2,755$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.91 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…4a14backed Bengals | 68c | 2,648$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Browns | 30c | 2,423$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.67 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bengals | 71c | 2,377$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.75 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Browns | 16c | 2,270$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.31 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Browns | 25c | 2,183$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.84 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Bengals | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.91 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Browns | 31c | 2,028$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.77 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bengals | 65c | 2,005$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.33 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Browns | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Browns | 32c | 1,985$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Browns | 32c | 1,932$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Browns | 26c | 1,868$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.57 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bengals | 72c | 1,808$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.58 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Browns | 32c | 1,575$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Browns | 32c | 1,523$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.08 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Browns | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Bengals | 68c | 1,493$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bengals | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bengals | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Bengals | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 32c | 1,429$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.41 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Browns | 31c | 1,351$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.68 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Browns | 33c | 1,310$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Bengals | 69c | 1,226$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Browns | 29c | 1,220$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.5 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…9f55backed Browns | 41c | 1,188$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Browns | 31c | 1,122$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.83 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Browns | 2c | 1,114$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Bengals | 79c | 1,080$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bengals | 67c | 1,030$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Bengals | 56c | 1,030$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Browns | 32c | 1,026$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…98a6backed Bengals | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Bengals | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bengals | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Browns | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Browns | 32c | 999.96$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Browns | 32c | 959.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bengals | 65c | 771$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.93 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…3455backed Bengals | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Bengals | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…20efbacked Bengals | 69c | 724.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Bengals | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…7d93backed Browns | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bengals vs. Brownsthis page
- Bengals vs. Browns: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Bengals (-5.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.