TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ec2…69fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst College Football at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST11755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,091.72
Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$126
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+82.6%+$172.54
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$209.95
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$83.94
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.4%+$211.68
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$466
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$362.4
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$482.99
Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$84
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+45.2%+$528.99
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$582.59
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+52.2%+$240
Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Spread: Lions (-4.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$430.74
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$190.44
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+83.5%+$136.5
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,750
Broncos vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Raiders vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$650
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.9wins-0.45per pick54cpaid-88.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$186
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.5%+$300.95
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,099.96
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,830
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,649.99
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,350
Spread: Notre Dame (-5.5)backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,560
Pittsburgh vs. West Virginiabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$9,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,994
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,878.7
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,309.55
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$725
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin above $110K on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$2,200
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,446.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.