Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin above $110K on September 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf897b372a32659eb18debcb0a2b7d932e6a99fd5a65fa98edf9185fc32505113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f8…8d75backed No | 20c | 33,758$6,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,769.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 33c | 12,461$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.6 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Yes | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed No | 14c | 9,870$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 29c | 8,562$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.66 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes | 66c | 7,700$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No | 19c | 7,690$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.05 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked No | 20c | 6,542$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c6…95c9backed No | 25c | 5,517$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed No | 3c | 4,665$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8970…36b5backed No | 17c | 4,454$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 35c | 3,777$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 62c | 3,700$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 75c | 3,612$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.02 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,556$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.39 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 26c | 2,942$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.23 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 74c | 2,101$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.52 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 31c | 1,842$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.58 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,800$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 62c | 1,500$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,296$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c5…6f71backed Yes | 79c | 1,099$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…b00ebacked Yes | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed No | 32c | 976.47$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Yes | 59c | 970.25$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…4e99backed Yes | 73c | 952.57$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…c63ebacked No | 2c | 750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked No | 5c | 747.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes | 63c | 710$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 73c | 479$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 18c | 476.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb5…a908backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +200%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 58c | 362.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 64c | 343.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 330$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Yes | 75c | 294.11$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed No | 23c | 292.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…1b10backed No | 11c | 274.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…e142backed No | 22c | 270$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 74c | 269.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…572fbacked No | 37c | 260$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Yes | 67c | 258.44$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…9190backed Yes | 70c | 250$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…6dfabacked Yes | 58c | 243$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…7b65backed No | 40c | 203.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22b…be5ebacked No | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…482fbacked No | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36d…d201backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f3…e00dbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…e576backed No | 19c | 133.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…8e0bbacked No | 43c | 113.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked No | 13c | 103.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…c8cbbacked No | 30c | 96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cd…ee4abacked No | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…1916backed Yes | 67c | 86.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…61b0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…5a00backed No | 47c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed No | 49c | 61.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…3425backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 38c | 56.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02df…22e1backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 73c | 43.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…40b6backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…71bfbacked Yes | 74c | 42.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…bc35backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…2b87backed Yes | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…9ed2backed Yes | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cf…0c26backed No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…2af2backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…abaebacked Yes | 68c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…79a8backed Yes | 64c | 22.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 76c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bitcoin above $110K on September 8?this page
- Bitcoin above $100K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $102K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $104K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $108K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $112K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?No won
- Bitcoin above $116K on September 8?No won
- Bitcoin above $118K on September 8?No won
- Bitcoin above $98K on September 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.