Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin above $112K on September 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x872c6169c193ebe09f2e7236fcc4cc1ff7b720c7f0d8984b41a3dca1de8cfcd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f8…8d75backed No | 47c | 68,491$32,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,450.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 24c | 15,706$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,950.08 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 46c | 9,389$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.88 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 68c | 5,540$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.47 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 60c | 5,043$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.83 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 33c | 4,146$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.16 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 33c | 4,100$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 27c | 4,095$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 34c | 3,200$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…3545backed Yes | 30c | 2,832$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed Yes | 33c | 2,800$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 23c | 2,778$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.67 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…6fcfbacked No | 60c | 2,737$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 70c | 2,689$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.35 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed No | 49c | 2,646$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 32c | 2,237$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 34c | 2,200$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,091$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.36 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…8b50backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Yes | 22c | 1,864$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +359.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8970…36b5backed Yes | 33c | 1,605$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…80c6backed No | 9c | 1,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 32c | 1,564$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.48 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 30c | 1,495$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.83 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 78c | 1,427$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 37c | 1,070$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.1 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…a011backed Yes | 74c | 736.88$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 20c | 611.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 45c | 524$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.4 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 43c | 464.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.99 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…466fbacked Yes | 61c | 440.56$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 65c | 427$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.39 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 58c | 421.57$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes | 61c | 415.84$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed Yes | 55c | 410$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Yes | 35c | 386.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 53c | 379.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 339$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.11 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa36d…d201backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…bc35backed Yes | 74c | 298.06$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…3f33backed Yes | 29c | 260.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +249.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…c8cbbacked No | 24c | 258.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…a774backed Yes | 39c | 230$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22b…be5ebacked Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6e…c9dbbacked Yes | 30c | 190.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…a67cbacked No | 78c | 184.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 49c | 170.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…cc04backed Yes | 53c | 170$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe883…8505backed Yes | 29c | 167$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…9678backed Yes | 31c | 162.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Yes | 63c | 155$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…5a00backed Yes | 37c | 121$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x214b…531dbacked Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 34c | 109.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…dd4ebacked Yes | 50c | 100.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdf…8473backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked No | 34c | 99.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…0fbebacked No | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cd…ee4abacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…1b10backed Yes | 43c | 89.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…7714backed Yes | 29c | 87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +134%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…de17backed No | 33c | 87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…ded9backed Yes | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…87b7backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…18c0backed No | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…d08cbacked Yes | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked No | 71c | 74.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…6176backed No | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37c…2e7bbacked Yes | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da6…f159backed Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 51c | 64.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…8229backed No | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790f…2b81backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…5579backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…572fbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…db4cbacked No | 71c | 55.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…ba8ebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961e…e6a6backed No | 71c | 55.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…5e65backed No | 51c | 52.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b2…8618backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…07f6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…f427backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…75e3backed Yes | 32c | 47.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c5…6f71backed Yes | 29c | 45.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3bd0backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…ac08backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bitcoin above $112K on September 8?this page
- Bitcoin above $100K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $102K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $104K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $108K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $110K on September 8?Yes won
- Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?No won
- Bitcoin above $116K on September 8?No won
- Bitcoin above $118K on September 8?No won
- Bitcoin above $98K on September 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.