TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7479…fbec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT5747.4%27 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+190.5%+$229.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$337.99
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$164.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 May 4-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$50.02
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$106.49
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Ethereum dip to $3,900 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Solana dip to $200 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.4
Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.2
Will Solana dip to $210 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.57
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.1
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$117.11
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Jaylen Brown Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.6
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.88
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+193.8%+$89.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.81
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$33
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+159.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+376.2%+$79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-12.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.