AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd1b836a2494f80aaee62927cf01e5f6fceb19114e96fc517c6440aea4576e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,733,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,141,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,733,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 763 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 10c | 150,660$15,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,625.95 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 8c | 51,261$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.64 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 16c | 48,117$7,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,478.42 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 10c | 40,608$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.72 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 7c | 36,391$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.83 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 7c | 35,138$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…9f8fbacked Yes | 18c | 32,522$5,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,743.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 17c | 30,561$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.81 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…4d17backed Yes | 28c | 28,338$7,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,905.75 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 15c | 26,480$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.41 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 1c | 25,650$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 12c | 24,600$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.88 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 14c | 23,638$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.43 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 23,400$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…2c4cbacked No | 50c | 22,112$11,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,055.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…205fbacked Yes | 50c | 22,112$11,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,055.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 11c | 20,935$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.58 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 20,696$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 4c | 20,472$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.22 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…a8f7backed No | 45c | 19,364$8,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,650.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 76c | 19,222$14,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 11c | 18,561$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.73 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…72cebacked Yes | 50c | 18,538$9,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,269.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…aefebacked No | 50c | 18,538$9,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,269.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…3913backed Yes | 50c | 18,394$9,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,197.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403b…47c8backed No | 50c | 18,394$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,197.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…c314backed No | 50c | 17,981$8,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,990.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b3…cb73backed Yes | 50c | 17,981$8,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,990.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 6c | 17,514$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.63 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 8c | 17,241$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.37 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 18c | 14,836$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.14 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 14,367$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.14 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 24c | 13,483$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 24c | 12,556$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 7c | 12,460$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…5e4cbacked Yes | 24c | 11,507$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 2c | 11,369$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…fb79backed Yes | 55c | 10,491$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 12c | 10,139$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 10c | 10,110$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,839$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 9c | 9,750$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…0c1bbacked Yes | 55c | 8,873$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 24c | 8,005$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.89 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…3c96backed Yes | 7c | 7,682$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 17c | 7,134$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.13 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…4069backed Yes | 19c | 6,921$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 21c | 6,642$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.49 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 18c | 6,381$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.63 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 17c | 6,257$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.36 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked Yes | 11c | 6,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 12c | 5,574$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.24 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,473$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…00dfbacked Yes | 9c | 5,349$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 11c | 5,347$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.08 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 16c | 5,271$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 17c | 5,134$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…0607backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,991$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked Yes | 16c | 4,804$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…08e6backed Yes | 1c | 4,667$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 10c | 4,627$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 22c | 4,263$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 15c | 4,211$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.58 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 39c | 4,176$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.91 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 5c | 4,103$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 19c | 4,055$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.39 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 3,964$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.98 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 10c | 3,813$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.68 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…8325backed Yes | 24c | 3,692$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 26c | 3,682$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed Yes | 31c | 3,639$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 15c | 3,554$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.24 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…c03dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,458$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 6c | 3,118$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…0a2fbacked Yes | 52c | 3,109$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 15c | 3,086$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.48 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 12c | 3,085$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.1 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 3,029$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.77 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 24c | 2,864$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.87 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,849$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…1032backed Yes | 67c | 2,849$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…16babacked Yes | 25c | 2,847$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 28c | 2,720$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.4 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 54c | 2,698$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 2,600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 66c | 2,507$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 17c | 2,474$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.32 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…4d3abacked Yes | 17c | 2,455$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…0361backed Yes | 13c | 2,450$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,407$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…b21ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…b1e9backed Yes | 3c | 2,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.