AI · resolved market

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734c6c32a62f8a27035a222e45fc388d59eeffe89bb31ab26054bc29bcc3eee7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,752,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,072,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,752,305 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0482…6b0abacked Yes	2c	58,105$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.26	210	35.7%75 W · 135 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	2c	49,264$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.69	149	1.3%2 W · 147 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	4c	48,489$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,722.43	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	40,721$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.69	63	4.8%3 W · 60 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-90.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ef…1faabacked Yes	0c	40,591$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.24	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-88%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x521b…db60backed Yes	2c	37,031$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.01	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	35cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes	2c	35,651$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.58	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1682…26cabacked Yes	3c	34,479$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.84	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	34,110$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.04	144	21.5%31 W · 113 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89f…1c44backed Yes	3c	30,305$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.94	143	37.8%54 W · 89 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9a…2b46backed Yes	7c	30,274$2,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,091.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3437…f8f3backed Yes	3c	29,268$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.65	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes	3c	27,169$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.5	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-16%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	25,156$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.44	81	1.2%1 W · 80 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes	1c	23,306$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.59	292	0.3%1 W · 291 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	10c	20,029$1,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,931.57	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	3c	20,000$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524	114	25.4%29 W · 85 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc8…3627backed Yes	11c	18,432$1,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.11	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+90.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	2c	18,198$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.95	629	1.3%8 W · 621 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-88.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d17…d7eabacked Yes	1c	18,159$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30cb…36b7backed Yes	1c	17,875$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes	11c	16,388$1,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,822.32	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	1c	15,770$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.06	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes	7c	14,831$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.29	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes	2c	13,656$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.04	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b67…b814backed Yes	2c	13,079$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.34	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	12,218$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	75	10.7%8 W · 67 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes	5c	12,094$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.67	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe55e…27e3backed Yes	9c	11,587$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cba…9abebacked Yes	17c	11,267$1,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,926.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes	3c	10,649$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.46	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0734…18dfbacked Yes	16c	10,521$1,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,647.17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a0…3cd1backed Yes	7c	10,421$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	10,287$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.25	304	2%6 W · 298 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes	3c	10,256$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.1	79	6.3%5 W · 74 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	10,208$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.07	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes	3c	10,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05a…5fddbacked Yes	4c	9,447$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf58c…d588backed Yes	6c	9,269$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	1c	8,894$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.11	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+135.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	1c	8,110$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.45	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7577…a332backed Yes	14c	8,108$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes	2c	7,772$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.53	143	39.2%56 W · 87 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cdb…2b4fbacked Yes	1c	7,753$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	7,745$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.17	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fc…7f38backed Yes	2c	7,409$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes	2c	7,018$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.03	258	37.6%97 W · 161 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes	2c	6,975$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.81	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes	4c	6,554$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.47	369	45.3%167 W · 202 L	+29.3wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f73…acefbacked Yes	13c	6,497$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.6	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.19per pick	30cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	6,371$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.24	279	2.5%7 W · 272 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes	8c	6,299$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.75	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa21…f3f4backed Yes	4c	6,149$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+150%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90e…c300backed Yes	5c	6,115$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x652b…f5c2backed Yes	3c	6,108$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.7	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb32…bbccbacked Yes	5c	5,971$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd622…dee0backed Yes	4c	5,804$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	5,574$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.11	79	0%0 W · 79 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	5,531$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	256	0%0 W · 256 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb523…4b8fbacked Yes	5c	5,142$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.74	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+78.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a6…7e29backed Yes	1c	5,019$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.89	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8c…450dbacked Yes	12c	5,000$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	2c	4,999$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.98	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…e3a2backed Yes	1c	4,980$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	4,871$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.33	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d3…f4f1backed Yes	2c	4,851$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3844…037abacked Yes	3c	4,835$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	4,492$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.7	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes	9c	4,371$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.33	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e6d…73f5backed Yes	1c	4,179$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae23…142ebacked Yes	12c	4,019$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.78	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed Yes	13c	4,008$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.83	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93a9…0b88backed Yes	3c	4,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x251e…81bfbacked Yes	3c	3,779$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.11	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes	2c	3,600$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes	2c	3,502$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.55	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d85…4a7ebacked Yes	3c	3,438$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x385b…10fbbacked Yes	4c	3,430$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b8b…63dfbacked Yes	4c	3,390$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c3…8d3bbacked Yes	3c	3,378$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…179abacked Yes	3c	3,200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	26cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…ef8ebacked Yes	6c	3,050$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	8c	2,946$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.73	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+112.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb186…1ed5backed Yes	15c	2,840$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2552…73d2backed Yes	5c	2,804$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.06	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d211backed Yes	6c	2,760$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.5	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d2…f954backed Yes	2c	2,677$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.45	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+13.9wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8130…5a50backed Yes	1c	2,663$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x222a…d5afbacked Yes	4c	2,616$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0691…1b9dbacked Yes	1c	2,595$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa43…76a5backed Yes	4c	2,579$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c83…0f55backed Yes	17c	2,564$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.88	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes	2c	2,509$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.93	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272c…7f07backed Yes	3c	2,500$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.06	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9c…0002backed Yes	1c	2,500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Yes	3c	2,500$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.57	15	40%6 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b91…982dbacked Yes	3c	2,424$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes	2c	2,409$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.75	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	2,400$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	200	3.5%7 W · 193 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	2,336$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.86	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes won
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event