AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d72632ac0ddadcac5247ffc586a193f1bc3bc839cf9ce993c2471e0d599cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,458,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,898,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,458,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 11c | 107,768$12,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,037.96 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…19b8backed Yes | 39c | 83,600$32,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,991.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…15fbbacked Yes | 38c | 75,500$28,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,734.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…6f73backed Yes | 53c | 65,675$34,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,113.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…d8bbbacked Yes | 31c | 64,900$20,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,845.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 10c | 44,249$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.58 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 11c | 33,862$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…f0a2backed No | 69c | 31,400$21,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,697.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…98c8backed No | 69c | 30,900$21,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,351.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 75c | 30,386$22,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,690.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c6…2d9ebacked No | 61c | 28,700$17,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,449.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5600backed No | 61c | 27,800$16,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,902.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…6221backed No | 61c | 27,100$16,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,639.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…b948backed No | 45c | 26,018$11,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,707.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 18c | 25,740$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.88 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…8fc7backed No | 62c | 25,700$15,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,908.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…acffbacked No | 62c | 25,200$15,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,598.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…8838backed No | 62c | 24,600$15,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,227.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 70c | 21,389$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,388.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 23c | 21,374$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.78 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 79c | 17,865$14,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 28c | 17,388$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.31 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 50c | 16,321$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,211.89 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 55c | 15,555$8,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,555.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…6f4cbacked Yes | 74c | 14,779$10,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 19c | 13,361$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.35 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 24c | 12,727$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.47 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked No | 24c | 12,698$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 9c | 10,413$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.11 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…3ebbbacked Yes | 78c | 10,246$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…6caabacked Yes | 80c | 8,717$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 20c | 8,339$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.63 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 73c | 8,000$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.06 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked No | 4c | 7,841$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.98 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 19c | 7,691$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.4 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 23c | 7,216$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.91 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 18c | 6,948$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.58 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 6,947$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.12 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…0b21backed Yes | 70c | 6,736$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 6,598$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 16c | 6,399$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.43 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…b14bbacked Yes | 52c | 6,199$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 11c | 6,166$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.28 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…7c4ebacked Yes | 74c | 6,104$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Yes | 72c | 6,003$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 18c | 5,900$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.34 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 69c | 5,765$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 15c | 5,724$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed Yes | 75c | 5,578$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 79c | 5,520$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed No | 12c | 5,181$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…4d17backed No | 25c | 5,004$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.95 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed No | 4c | 5,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 11c | 5,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.98 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…ddc4backed Yes | 79c | 4,916$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 15c | 4,904$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.84 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 13c | 4,855$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 25c | 4,787$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.35 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 21c | 4,696$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.17 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 4,652$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…e87bbacked Yes | 65c | 4,616$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bb…c186backed No | 29c | 4,523$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 32c | 4,362$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.31 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 4,308$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 22c | 4,146$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.43 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…ee82backed Yes | 72c | 4,000$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 11c | 3,974$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…16e7backed No | 10c | 3,944$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 60c | 3,863$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc5…e3b9backed Yes | 67c | 3,735$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 76c | 3,590$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 15c | 3,533$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.02 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…7e74backed Yes | 72c | 3,482$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 24c | 3,417$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…bbccbacked Yes | 60c | 3,357$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c55…4120backed No | 17c | 3,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 21c | 2,956$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.58 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 72c | 2,800$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.19 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…c455backed Yes | 72c | 2,787$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…379cbacked Yes | 73c | 2,747$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…8e0ebacked Yes | 55c | 2,744$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8440…57fabacked No | 4c | 2,616$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked No | 1c | 2,602$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,601$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.73 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…f004backed No | 69c | 2,600$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 17c | 2,568$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 6c | 2,567$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…6962backed Yes | 15c | 2,537$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.13 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…d739backed Yes | 79c | 2,537$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 67c | 2,520$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.38 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…eebabacked Yes | 80c | 2,500$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 2c | 2,493$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…3627backed Yes | 61c | 2,390$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 2,356$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.79 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…5d9fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,347$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 14c | 2,326$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.92 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 31c | 2,314$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.9 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,312$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.23 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…7d14backed Yes | 66c | 2,288$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.