TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x369c…eab1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
293
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$14.23
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$191.94
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.86
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+45%+$51.43
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$26.56
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$26.38
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$23.53
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.73
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$34.55
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$25.79
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.42
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$4.09
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$8.08
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6129.5%18 W · 43 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$17.19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.17
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.11
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.01
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.03
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$140.1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+443.3%+$142.79
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.11
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.24
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.18
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.93
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.62
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$810.11
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.22
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.6
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.12
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.27
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$239.64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$181.9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$23.05
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.21
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.83
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.94
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$34.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$163.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$43.38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$8.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$67.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$25.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+173%+$274.47
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$77.73
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+246.5%+$31.3
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$13.15
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.24
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$60.04
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.54
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$22.67
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.56
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$72.8
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$81.05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22,695Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7,690.37
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$16.24
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$8.85
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$24.54
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.3
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.34
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.91
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$78.21
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+59%+$15.68
All 24 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.74
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.67
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.62
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.97
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$9.21
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117%+$63.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.14
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$8.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53%+$49.26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$138.12
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.87
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$6.63
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$6.94
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$122.94
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$18.72
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.28
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$76.72
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$77.79
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$13.89
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$38.43
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$5.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$55.88
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$102.82
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$13.85
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.11
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$268.33
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-83.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.19
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$8,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,678.09
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.49
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$33.21
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.69
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.05
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$26.6
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$230.01
Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,911Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$10,862.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$23.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$46.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$6.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$9.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.