TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed No34c24,936$8,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,485.611,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes66c23,671$15,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,646.711,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed No29c979.68$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.1647047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked No40c930.07$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7816851.2%86 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes64c560.8$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.532334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Yes60c500$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30129758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd43…dbbabacked No31c482.39$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.462944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…4dc6backed Yes62c470$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.751968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No76c433.85$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.925851.9%134 W · 124 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed No8c332.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2530243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No18c307.54$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.46147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Yes66c304.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed Yes66c302.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked No7c295.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.441118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+225.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No8c267.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.03119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc7…fc33backed Yes62c250$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2210055%55 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed No14c235.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.811,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No16c201.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No17c186.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.87229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked No10c150$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No15c136.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.472540%10 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No9c128.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2819744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41dd…afb8backed Yes80c128.77$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No35c114.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes28c109.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2516819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x663f…bb92backed Yes74c108.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Yes60c100.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.451,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a43…26babacked No38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes58c95.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5428329.7%84 W · 199 L-32.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd76e…c1dabacked Yes70c73.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec4…cfc8backed Yes66c68.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.43754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes70c66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x864f…3ae7backed Yes62c65.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed No34c52.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+196.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f9…54dbbacked No26c51.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes62c51.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked No22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.955429.6%16 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.321764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+59.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411354%61 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed No41c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes68c35.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.762,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7097…e1debacked No36c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.939450%47 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a5d…4261backed Yes61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.384146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf3a…51fcbacked Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…ae71backed No53c26.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Yes69c25.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6130453.3%162 W · 142 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes66c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes61c24.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.291723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes66c23.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b8…a24cbacked Yes65c23.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes69c22.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1822955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0953…bb3ebacked Yes70c19.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.831526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-47.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Yes66c17.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3322548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.