Lol · resolved market
Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5eaafcc6659d860ab3f7f47a190d538f7db714dacfb7647468ff6d21c15d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 8c | 956.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 68c | 658.2$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed No | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Yes | 73c | 566.47$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 4c | 480.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed No | 15c | 428.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 11c | 216.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 205.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 182.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…cfe8backed No | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9592backed Yes | 70c | 38.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…35ddbacked Yes | 45c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?this page
- Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will BNK FEARX qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Karmine Corp qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will LOUD qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will Weibo Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.