Lol · resolved market
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x990fafef630445eeb670416c528881677618c43f6ed648bad9eb58f9aa22761e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Yes | 33c | 30,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,200 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 34c | 15,237$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,014.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 70c | 6,427$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.21 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 72c | 2,661$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.96 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 65c | 1,412$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 35c | 1,155$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…68cabacked Yes | 35c | 798$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed No | 65c | 798$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Yes | 34c | 599$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked No | 66c | 599$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 54c | 597$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 46c | 597$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…2477backed Yes | 56c | 519.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed No | 39c | 455.03$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 473 | 47.4%224 W · 249 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…185fbacked No | 57c | 418.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.46 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed No | 35c | 397.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5d…4261backed Yes | 73c | 343.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked No | 36c | 272.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed Yes | 35c | 257$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…3083backed Yes | 38c | 245.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 61c | 244.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 30c | 236.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 226$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 75c | 175$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 11c | 149$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 114$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked No | 68c | 110.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 51c | 105.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 259 | 52.1%135 W · 124 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 380 | 51.1%194 W · 186 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…ce73backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 13c | 82.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 291 | 30.6%89 W · 202 L | -31.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed No | 55c | 78.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 44c | 73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 67c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…618dbacked No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…54dbbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…15d2backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 67c | 44.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 28c | 43.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…4c84backed No | 28c | 38.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed No | 39c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…b639backed Yes | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed No | 69c | 25.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…c5d5backed Yes | 73c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed No | 66c | 17.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 69c | 15.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…c83dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?this page
- Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will BNK FEARX qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Karmine Corp qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will LOUD qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Weibo Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.