TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,461 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes29c1,486$431 inWon+$1,055.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c55…8adebacked No73c1,093$798 inLost-$797.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01d6…0511backed No73c1,045$763 inLost-$762.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d48…d6f1backed No71c868$616 inLost-$616.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd68…cdd3backed Yes27c659$178 inWon+$481.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0666…9fa3backed No73c619$452 inLost-$451.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f6…bb1ebacked No71c618$439 inLost-$438.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f2…55d9backed Yes27c565$153 inWon+$412.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb18…2372backed Yes27c553$149 inWon+$403.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes27c546$147 inWon+$398.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6007…9553backed Yes27c434$117 inWon+$316.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed No10c176$17 inLost-$16.771,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No13c168.73$22 inLost-$22.43229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No19c79$15 inLost-$15.011533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No29c73$21 inLost-$21.1716339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes78c71$55 inWon+$15.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes80c58.5$47 inWon+$11.714358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fd…d257backed No20c57.39$11 inLost-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd282…a206backed No33c50$17 inLost-$16.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Yes67c50$34 inWon+$16.521054.8%115 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No28c42$12 inLost-$11.971250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3a…aaa2backed Yes67c33.02$22 inWon+$11.0211847.5%56 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.