Lol · resolved market
Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d89ef34320d8d3799c1645eac4435eafa6d9cca308032f247b8333c20b3a090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb555…83e5backed Yes | 24c | 1,092$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…4e8fbacked Yes | 19c | 954$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 19c | 914$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 76c | 878$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…1690backed No | 71c | 859$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed Yes | 29c | 859$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 76c | 516$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 19c | 321$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked Yes | 24c | 302$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked No | 73c | 161$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed Yes | 27c | 161$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed No | 53c | 118.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Yes | 46c | 58.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…3babbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Yes | 30c | 41.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…4c84backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?this page
- Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will BNK FEARX qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Karmine Corp qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will LOUD qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?No won
- Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will Weibo Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.