TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeab9…2ff1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$131.52
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$324.86
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$453.6
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.4
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$134.6
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$162.24
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$242.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$38.88
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$347.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.28
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+64.4%+$195.06
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$414.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+284.6%+$185.74
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$417.06
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.79
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$104.92
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$79.2
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$188.24
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.36
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.89
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.5
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$104.76
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$278.95
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.48
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$149.23
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$669.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+76.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.52
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$193.75
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.32
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.44
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$239.25
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+809.1%+$235.85
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$236.4
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$269.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-57.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+177.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$485.44
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$141.48
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$319.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.12
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$77.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+316.7%+$166.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jynxzi win the PogChamps chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$806.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs METANOIAGG (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Abacked Bad Luck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+95.7%+$619.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$210.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.