Movies · resolved market
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a85860222480097c4fbafa1a0fde962fea0f535a282f4f799cc28f86dacf763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04f7…184abacked No | 52c | 36,006$18,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,282.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbe…1b01backed Yes | 48c | 36,006$17,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,282.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Yes | 26c | 8,240$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 70c | 3,991$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.85 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 71c | 3,478$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.54 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 53c | 1,774$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 80c | 1,635$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed No | 27c | 1,347$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,086$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 993.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 53c | 936$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed No | 47c | 933$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 26c | 929.49$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.31 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 47c | 914$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.42 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 47c | 863$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 46c | 822$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 54c | 815$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed No | 36c | 811$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 54c | 807$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked No | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…8919backed Yes | 64c | 762$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 73c | 704$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 73c | 643$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked No | 10c | 638$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 54c | 619$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 46c | 619$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 10c | 585$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 22c | 582.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 36c | 443.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 419.94$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 73c | 387$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 27c | 387$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed Yes | 66c | 379.29$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 58c | 336.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +161%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 42c | 277.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…ba97backed Yes | 33c | 269.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 32c | 250.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 64c | 243.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…9a1abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 196.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…2261backed No | 27c | 184.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +269%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 65c | 175.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…1f4bbacked No | 43c | 169.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 38c | 158.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed Yes | 36c | 153.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…f4c9backed Yes | 43c | 143.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked No | 44c | 141.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed No | 67c | 139$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…6411backed Yes | 33c | 139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 17c | 137.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 25c | 131.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 128.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 35c | 127$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…f7e3backed Yes | 42c | 123.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 27c | 122.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…fb09backed No | 15c | 107.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +562.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…5da9backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…7904backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…5ee0backed No | 29c | 99.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 32c | 98.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked No | 50c | 89.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 41c | 80.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…1346backed Yes | 35c | 78.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Yes | 52c | 78.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 37c | 74.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…5d68backed Yes | 46c | 74.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…4f14backed Yes | 70c | 72.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 77c | 71.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…84abbacked Yes | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 60c | 66.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 41c | 65.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 19c | 65.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 65.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…23bdbacked Yes | 79c | 63.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…4563backed Yes | 75c | 62.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…9090backed No | 77c | 59.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Yes | 53c | 58.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 74c | 57.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 69c | 52.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 52c | 51.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 49.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 64c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 42c | 46.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 58c | 45.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…f5cdbacked Yes | 56c | 42.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 70c | 42.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a2c4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…3418backed Yes | 40c | 39.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…deebbacked No | 40c | 38.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.