TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5372…5f61

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Movies, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 59 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$40.92
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$144.2
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$184.96
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$243.32
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$240.9
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$119.66
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$84.72
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$66.64
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$288.96
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+222.6%+$997.05
Will Israel strike 3 or more countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.3
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$494.49
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$221.48
Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.52
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+60.6%+$22.63
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$96.32
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+64.8%+$118.78
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.56
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$131.75
Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$209.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.31
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$50.4
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.14
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.58
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$106.75
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.95
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.01
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$159.3
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.49
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+455.6%+$668.3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$77.22
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$50.16
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$32.89
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$85.02
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$129.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+101.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Triangle" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$224.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+566.7%+$453.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$329.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$446.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$383.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$30.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$405.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.