Music · resolved market
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95d23634e1488f3b3320229e88a4aa3ba4f862ecfbd7e40ff111aada5ffeac76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 26c | 397.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Yes | 22c | 391$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 58c | 353$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 80c | 335$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 55c | 318$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…d9fcbacked No | 80c | 313$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 45c | 283$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…aaedbacked No | 70c | 258.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed Yes | 18c | 225.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…1fb3backed No | 79c | 225$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 80c | 203$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…236cbacked Yes | 79c | 191.68$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed No | 78c | 190$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Yes | 20c | 187$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 21c | 184.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed No | 77c | 182$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 38c | 165$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…2371backed Yes | 38c | 162.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Yes | 34c | 153$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 20c | 147$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 66c | 136$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed Yes | 52c | 115.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…e335backed Yes | 29c | 112.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked No | 13c | 110$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 16cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…1b0bbacked No | 27c | 106.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 26cpaid | +383%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 27c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 73c | 104$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 102.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 27c | 102.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed Yes | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…47c1backed Yes | 73c | 91.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked Yes | 21c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked No | 80c | 86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…7bd2backed Yes | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…c1bebacked Yes | 80c | 83.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…ef31backed No | 72c | 77.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 73.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3811backed Yes | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed No | 70c | 71.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 36c | 70.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 80c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…421bbacked Yes | 68c | 66.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 27c | 66.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 20c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cc…c3fabacked Yes | 24c | 62.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ce56backed Yes | 20c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed Yes | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…c49fbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9a…6e47backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked Yes | 65c | 46.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…b15ebacked Yes | 77c | 45.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…16f6backed No | 48c | 41.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…44c5backed Yes | 75c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6a…5d77backed Yes | 73c | 40.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed Yes | 78c | 40.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…072fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +394%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…8825backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked No | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed Yes | 34c | 32.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…b632backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…7b91backed No | 54c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…bd6bbacked Yes | 64c | 19.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Yes | 73c | 16.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…1d27backed Yes | 70c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 78c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?this page
- Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Drake release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Harry Styles release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Luke Combs release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.