Music · resolved market
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe601d5047ffb85c43758f1cbd5fe5faa5e646f0020f56fcc2534b17741ed9521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,153,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,981,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,153,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ae5…1f90backed Yes | 0c | 197,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 156,904$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 0c | 116,692$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…b27bbacked Yes | 0c | 104,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 1c | 103,000$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 9c | 101,672$9,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,556.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 1c | 101,488$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.25 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 0c | 99,592$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…d882backed Yes | 0c | 90,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed Yes | 1c | 88,633$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…9100backed Yes | 0c | 75,230$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 0c | 70,228$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed Yes | 3c | 56,178$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…4295backed Yes | 0c | 50,617$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 4c | 45,762$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…6075backed Yes | 0c | 35,603$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…96c7backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 0c | 34,680$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 1c | 34,177$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.64 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…8d93backed Yes | 0c | 33,459$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 0c | 32,688$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 4c | 30,964$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,908$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed Yes | 5c | 22,430$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 7c | 20,488$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…7cacbacked Yes | 10c | 17,791$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 0c | 17,189$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +897.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 3c | 16,250$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…e967backed Yes | 1c | 15,912$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 20c | 15,094$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 2c | 12,700$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d4…88c9backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…df2abacked Yes | 0c | 12,333$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +268.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Yes | 0c | 11,660$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 0c | 11,131$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…31ebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,970$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…45c4backed Yes | 7c | 10,466$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…a094backed Yes | 1c | 10,433$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…6329backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…9b5fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 3c | 9,821$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4298backed Yes | 0c | 9,167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…c216backed Yes | 0c | 8,435$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…9be6backed Yes | 2c | 7,809$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 22c | 7,600$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…0d09backed Yes | 0c | 7,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 23c | 7,292$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 9c | 6,889$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…3138backed Yes | 15c | 6,566$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 14c | 6,260$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…108ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked No | 74c | 6,072$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…10e9backed Yes | 5c | 6,005$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d2…7165backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 16c | 5,925$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed Yes | 24c | 5,583$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 21c | 5,353$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 0c | 5,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked Yes | 16c | 5,195$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 0c | 5,007$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4d…20cfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…8378backed Yes | 29c | 4,953$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Yes | 35c | 4,694$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 2c | 4,425$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 13c | 4,385$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 3c | 4,200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 9c | 4,139$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Yes | 0c | 3,956$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 5c | 3,945$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…0835backed Yes | 0c | 3,833$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…fedebacked Yes | 0c | 3,755$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 79c | 3,694$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.98 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,639$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.23 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 77c | 3,500$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 19c | 3,303$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.06 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed Yes | 1c | 2,850$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…409fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,825$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…a773backed Yes | 3c | 2,583$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 2c | 2,496$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 14c | 2,470$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 4c | 2,391$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c306backed Yes | 1c | 2,370$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Yes | 12c | 2,351$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,305$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed Yes | 11c | 2,305$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 7c | 2,188$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?this page
- Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Drake release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Harry Styles release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Luke Combs release an album in 2025?No won
- Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.