TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8a6…644b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,075
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: World Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 61 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT19428.9%56 W · 138 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.54
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.68
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.3
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,836Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$2,577.17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.66
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.74
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.81
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38%+$79.9
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$449.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$232.98
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+160.6%+$203.42
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.52
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.81
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,502.36
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10330.1%31 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$20.5
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$64.56
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$101.99
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.72
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+68.4%+$533.96
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.4%+$71.9
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38%+$267.76
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$701.99
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$192.05
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,937Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,937.02
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14,539Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+39.5%+$5,737.82
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.1%+$226.3
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.92
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$178.42
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$370.98
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,987.7
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$22.33
Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9632.3%31 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+318.5%+$361.5
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+1,131.2%+$1,174.12
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.17
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.66
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.8
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.77
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.58
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.12
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.93
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.78
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72%+$51.1
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+120%+$558.64
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$186.46
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,731Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$1,399.24
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9230.4%28 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2380 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$10.5
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$17.5
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$20.04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.54
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$47.72
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$320.85
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+43%+$61.45
Will there be at least 1575 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.39
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$10.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$61.59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+145.5%+$106.76
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+37.7%+$23.54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$32.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+52.7%+$53.49
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.9%+$133.9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$75.19
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$91.91
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on January 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.4%+$15.48
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT6725.4%17 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carmax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$50.41
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$71.09
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$77
Will Walmart say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48.01
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35.25
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$42.5
Will GoPro (GPRO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$47.5
Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$56.68
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Will US Foods Holding (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.52
Will U-Haul Holding (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.49
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$58.5
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5635.7%20 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-10.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$107.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$88.99
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.33
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.96
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$256.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$225
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$200.8
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-33.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$83.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.33
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.75
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.41
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.09
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$301.61
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300.46
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$201.17
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$241.2
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.09
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$121.99
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+54.7%+$52.75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$10.83
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$59.97
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.13
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$66.42
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+302.5%+$88.75
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,676Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52%+$871.52
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$275.6
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the January meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+117.6%+$80.5
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the January Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.94
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$50.99
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$138
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$5,235.98
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,044Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+286.7%+$8,728.53
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.5%+$111.86
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+391.2%+$295.48
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,415.52
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.3
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.34
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.8%+$30.7
Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.99
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.6%+$39.3
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.7
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$235.39
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63%+$593.53
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Scorigami in Week 3 of NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Scorigami in Week 1 of NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Scorigami in NFL Week 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68.61
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.09
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Scorigami in NFL Week 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32.6%+$71.69
Scorigami in NFL Week 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$27.02
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Scorigami in NFL Week 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+311.7%+$49.65
Scorigami in NFL Week 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.85
Scorigami in NFL Week 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Scorigami in NFL Week 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.05
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.29
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$43.45
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$50.6
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.74
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.49
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.3
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$14.95
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.09
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+80.3%+$66.8
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$229.99
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.15
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$178.19
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$135.7
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$360.37
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+134.5%+$149.21
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.76
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be 600k or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.06
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 550k and 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.88
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.57
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.65
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3250000 and 3500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.05
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.99
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+1,034.1%+$5,118.54
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.43
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+74.8%+$191.21
The Life of a Showgirl Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.12
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.19
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.43
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+57.6%+$78.55
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$44.2
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$206.91
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+109.5%+$438.95
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$86
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$78.7
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,276.2%+$464.63
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$672.35
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$78.95
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$93.61
Lighter Airdrop on December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$96.87
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.82
Lighter Airdrop on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.05
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$202.24
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,018.41
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$209.5
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$316.29
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$101.08
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$471.47
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.5%+$147.9
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$520.48
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$160.56
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$548.76
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,314.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+300%+$150
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$121.12
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.9%+$20.58
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$105
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.07
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$424.04
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.14
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.69
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.37
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$90.36
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-78.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.2
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 2.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 1.5m and 2m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+36.6%+$225.36
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$181.74
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153.38
Will "Song Sung Blue" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$59.82
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$159.37
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38.71
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will "Sarah's Oil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 53m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.19
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 53m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.55
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.3
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5.75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+316%+$303.84
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.53
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,686Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$927.92
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Julius Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.21
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.24
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$231.64
Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 Roundsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Schnell vs. Moralesbacked Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Hokit vs. Gimenisbacked Gimenis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$14.05
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$39
Emmett vs. Zalalbacked Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
UFC Fight Night: Rowston vs. Petroskibacked Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.5
UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. Bedoyabacked Mullarkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. Montaguebacked Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 21 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$62.83
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$122.37
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$66.4
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+95.5%+$315.56
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$344.96
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+32.1%+$4.58
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.42
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+36.8%+$77.81
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+139.8%+$645.36
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$145.74
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.84
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$257.67
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.5%+$696.41
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+438.4%+$204.37
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47.38
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$168.59
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.18
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+198.2%+$150.22
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$200.99
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+163.7%+$327.07
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.6%+$151.2
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+67.4%+$329.19
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+168%+$465.16
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$169.48
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.33
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.7
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.87
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.28
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.45
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$21.1
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed OpenAI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.38
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$647.77
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+292.2%+$29.8
Discord IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.43
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.08
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.03
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56.28
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$32.5
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.5
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.08
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$51.75
Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.8%+$29.5
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+354.5%+$97.5
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+224.4%+$71.69
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$96.93
Democratic sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$48.53
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$47.47
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.16
Will the Senate pass funding bill by October 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will the Senate pass funding bill by October 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+30.7%+$173.07
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46.48
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60.1
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$155.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.75
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.67
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.5
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.6
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+67.2%+$147.18
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$40.14
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$276.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$19.5
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$25
First Blood in Game 1?backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.52
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US lose jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.39
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.6
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61.91
Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$76.5
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.44
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.