Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x127e0ef297060b253c86606ac0e2419efda466d62e71da622571a0c9b8775bde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 1c | 7,416$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 4,258$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,319$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,940$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,020$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,564$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 2c | 1,247$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 2c | 894.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…3a52backed Yes | 3c | 859.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 2c | 791.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes | 2c | 735.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 674.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 2c | 666.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…40c0backed Yes | 5c | 372.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +1,148.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…a188backed Yes | 9c | 218.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.