TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,262$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.712,1633.9%85 W · 2,078 L+5.8wins0.00per pick4cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…c327backed Yes1c4,767$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…57b3backed Yes45c2,886$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c2,318$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851,6251.9%31 W · 1,594 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes10c2,096$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.625535.6%31 W · 522 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes3c2,072$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.572727%19 W · 253 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+83.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes3c1,754$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.857811.5%9 W · 69 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f4…c82cbacked Yes45c1,721$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes4c1,490$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6212114%17 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…bc40backed Yes10c1,150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes15c1,099$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.821507.3%11 W · 139 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes4c1,002$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.11,0678.3%89 W · 978 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8997…a1ebbacked Yes5c799.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes7c791.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7629225%73 W · 219 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2664…53f8backed Yes31c700$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8f…3186backed Yes26c700$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-78.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa963…5da5backed Yes7c679.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes4c678.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1126411.4%30 W · 234 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes8c644.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6315819%30 W · 128 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes23c639.2$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.835036%18 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes21c635$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7240016.8%67 W · 333 L-0.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes32c600$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945317%9 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x472a…2dadbacked Yes50c590.8$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.69911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1184…1b67backed No41c581$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…a3bcbacked Yes17c556.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Yes31c549.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes21c526.32$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6210032%32 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No73c522.16$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6331565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes34c518.61$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.331225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes42c507.25$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3343933%145 W · 294 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010727.1%29 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f2…95debacked Yes59c496$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No69c490$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.21833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes22c470.23$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.435045.2%26 W · 478 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes31c453.91$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.81922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed Yes31c449.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Yes24c443.03$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.531546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes3c442.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1950828.3%144 W · 364 L+1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes7c423$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0225023.2%58 W · 192 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes34c411.16$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.477544%33 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes58c400$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23442628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed Yes59c343$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed No41c342$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc962…a44dbacked Yes60c335.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes6c324.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581,0535.6%59 W · 994 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a2…e94cbacked No70c314.29$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+84.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes34c313.07$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.487533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes7c309.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.463986.8%27 W · 371 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No75c302.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.989058.9%53 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…da44backed Yes18c300$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc101…e6d1backed Yes34c293.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Yes29c273.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.141216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-69.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes16c272.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1552619.8%104 W · 422 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…48c7backed Yes33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.15414.8%8 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873e…12ecbacked Yes15c269.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.641915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes7c268.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024114.1%34 W · 207 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60bf…b506backed Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No68c255.21$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.626167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes38c234.7$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4250%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7b…8b06backed No72c220.72$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65c3…b5e5backed Yes49c217.1$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0523…ace5backed Yes6c213.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.441225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4282711%91 W · 736 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ea…998bbacked Yes14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-70.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f94…0b53backed No58c190$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes6c189.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.654916.7%33 W · 458 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…76fcbacked Yes8c187.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.962718.5%5 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes57c177.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…d079backed Yes14c152.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+72.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5334039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes25c150$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.29126.4%24 W · 67 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3e…2755backed Yes8c149.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2042…2f99backed Yes35c144.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cca…a2cbbacked Yes19c137.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.16425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No53c137.31$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8137830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…67b8backed Yes15c125.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.599724.7%24 W · 73 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf880…3628backed Yes15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228211%31 W · 251 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbad…0661backed Yes28c107.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes43c103.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…6254backed Yes24c100.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0905…99adbacked Yes64c100.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.210434.6%36 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…4957backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-59.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b6…fcdbbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd509…da33backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…a4e5backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d5…b3f7backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.233027.9%92 W · 238 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-74.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9961…0107backed No76c99.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ed…1f51backed Yes28c99.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes17c95.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6924932.9%82 W · 167 L-33.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x00ff…59d3backed Yes65c89.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.431421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd08…bd74backed Yes59c84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c69…f802backed Yes15c77.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.