Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec544964a7b6788aa0e16dc6e39610d94cfd322efd9fe40b5dcf950ecc056fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,262$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…c327backed Yes | 1c | 4,767$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed Yes | 45c | 2,886$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,318$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 10c | 2,096$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 2,072$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Yes | 3c | 1,754$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,721$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,490$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…bc40backed Yes | 10c | 1,150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 15c | 1,099$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 4c | 1,002$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8997…a1ebbacked Yes | 5c | 799.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 7c | 791.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 31c | 700$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 26c | 700$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…5da5backed Yes | 7c | 679.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 4c | 678.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 8c | 644.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 23c | 639.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 21c | 635$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes | 32c | 600$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 50c | 590.8$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 41c | 581$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a3bcbacked Yes | 17c | 556.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 31c | 549.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 21c | 526.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 73c | 522.16$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 34c | 518.61$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 42c | 507.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked Yes | 59c | 496$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 69c | 490$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 22c | 470.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 31c | 453.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Yes | 31c | 449.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 24c | 443.03$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 3c | 442.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 7c | 423$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 34c | 411.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 59c | 343$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 41c | 342$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc962…a44dbacked Yes | 60c | 335.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 324.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…e94cbacked No | 70c | 314.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 34c | 313.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 7c | 309.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 398 | 6.8%27 W · 371 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 302.31$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…da44backed Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 34c | 293.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 29c | 273.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 272.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…48c7backed Yes | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…12ecbacked Yes | 15c | 269.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 7c | 268.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…b506backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 255.21$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…a818backed Yes | 38c | 234.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…8b06backed No | 72c | 220.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…b5e5backed Yes | 49c | 217.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 213.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed No | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 189.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…76fcbacked Yes | 8c | 187.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 57c | 177.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…d079backed Yes | 14c | 152.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…2755backed Yes | 8c | 149.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…2f99backed Yes | 35c | 144.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…a2cbbacked Yes | 19c | 137.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 53c | 137.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…67b8backed Yes | 15c | 125.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…3628backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 282 | 11%31 W · 251 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 28c | 107.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 43c | 103.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed Yes | 24c | 100.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…99adbacked Yes | 64c | 100.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…4957backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…fcdbbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…da33backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…a4e5backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…b3f7backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…0107backed No | 76c | 99.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…1f51backed Yes | 28c | 99.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 17c | 95.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…59d3backed Yes | 65c | 89.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c69…f802backed Yes | 15c | 77.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.