TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes26c6,853$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.991942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes71c6,127$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.212227.3%6 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4295…5b86backed Yes61c2,807$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+72.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No33c2,477$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.012,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa1…5b95backed Yes66c2,464$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes67c1,891$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.463030%9 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No34c1,825$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.374070%28 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb46…62bdbacked No20c1,675$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked No62c1,286$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.171866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5937…2100backed No39c1,280$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No8c1,251$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.232,1633.9%85 W · 2,078 L+5.8wins0.00per pick4cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7957…ddbcbacked No38c1,212$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked No66c1,112$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.897544%33 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed No19c1,065$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063267.1%23 W · 303 L-0.9wins0.00per pick7cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed No40c1,000$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40110727.1%29 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0e…fb07backed No37c917.56$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7812920.9%27 W · 102 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked No13c867.7$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.155535.6%31 W · 522 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes68c791.71$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9129225%73 W · 219 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes64c738.52$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.519550.3%98 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e46…8a07backed Yes15c738.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+142.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f06…5873backed Yes45c701.59$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+149.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked No15c698.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da7…9cc8backed No16c642.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes66c638.5$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6299619.8%197 W · 799 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No55c637.44$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6631565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e7…5d3dbacked No19c550$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.65450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes38c526.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.071833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes71c525.58$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9150828.3%144 W · 364 L+1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No19c454.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7712216.4%20 W · 102 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04db…f0fdbacked No3c407.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.151844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ff…3c44backed No38c350$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1014…25f7backed Yes53c347.14$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+141.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No58c328.88$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0226167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a82…c2c1backed Yes78c323.66$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.013729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…f426backed Yes72c318.79$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0460…7268backed Yes68c316.69$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+190.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes58c313.66$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0543933%145 W · 294 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed No32c305$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.827533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes57c304.17$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.771507.3%11 W · 139 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.275036%18 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7b…8b06backed Yes46c298.66$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No37c275.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4737830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes67c255.04$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5252619.8%104 W · 422 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No55c250.93$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4651845.9%238 W · 280 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…40c0backed Yes4c249.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+1,148.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed No33c247.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.885040%20 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x695c…10a1backed No19c214.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.692128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No63c213.56$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6979735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x938a…a941backed No23c203.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f4…8d04backed Yes75c203.29$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+127.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3790…f78fbacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c2…d561backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf55e…0016backed No33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.346137.5%173 W · 288 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes74c199.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5342628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e36…5dddbacked No48c199.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a7…0a2ebacked No53c186.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b31…9bccbacked Yes55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed No64c179$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.741546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes61c172.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.572737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdfdc…444dbacked Yes58c171.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd4…5ec7backed Yes43c167.91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+140%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes67c164.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.847833.3%26 W · 52 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9991…c327backed No17c162.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes75c162.03$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.662462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…da43backed Yes70c161.25$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…29d1backed Yes43c160.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1264…31e5backed No32c155.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508826.1%23 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes72c152.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.063836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1726…1ad4backed No47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Yes62c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Yes62c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eee…74e8backed Yes57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65850%4 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+261.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes12c150$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.41225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4d…e640backed Yes60c147.77$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed No54c146.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.593821.1%8 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2042…2f99backed Yes31c146$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f77…fc9dbacked No52c139.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0103…0696backed No46c134.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed Yes76c132.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4316831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed No17c130.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3715819%30 W · 128 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No35c125.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4323541.3%97 W · 138 L-29.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-35.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9f80…7a52backed No50c122$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615238.5%20 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fd…e32bbacked Yes59c120.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc40c…5577backed No56c120.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3489…7fffbacked No71c120$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes71c115.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.142524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No14c114.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5710510.5%11 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fce…ab49backed No39c110.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30e8…38b0backed No9c108.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6bb…9650backed No55c103.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab32…252ebacked Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8904…80a3backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43be…ec96backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2664…53f8backed Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83f3…3861backed No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed No16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510325.2%26 W · 77 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.