Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94f4a5ca5c7950b532bbcfdb9a614c190af0366a3524f437180d0ba372662e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 17c | 8,522$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.48 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…1d10backed Yes | 49c | 3,163$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 26c | 2,466$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.95 | 326 | 7.1%23 W · 303 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed Yes | 23c | 2,079$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 2,072$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes | 40c | 1,644$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.61 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 11c | 1,576$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 18c | 1,440$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 21c | 1,440$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 1,405$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,230$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.54 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 21c | 1,168$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 14c | 1,160$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…a188backed Yes | 26c | 1,159$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes | 32c | 1,100$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 24c | 1,022$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0016backed Yes | 31c | 912.26$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 843.33$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.42 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 60c | 817.32$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 19c | 791.72$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…0e93backed Yes | 21c | 749.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…d805backed Yes | 8c | 737.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 29c | 718.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…8f06backed Yes | 32c | 710$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…8b06backed No | 73c | 703.21$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 27c | 699.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…051ebacked Yes | 32c | 650$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…17acbacked Yes | 11c | 646.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…ab49backed Yes | 20c | 638.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 30c | 631.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 21c | 623.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 613.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…8843backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 27c | 600$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 588.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…bc40backed Yes | 16c | 554.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 24c | 527.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 27c | 500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Yes | 27c | 500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b7…023cbacked Yes | 11c | 481.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…3c44backed Yes | 14c | 469.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 459.48$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 452.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…e94cbacked No | 69c | 436.93$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 433.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a3bcbacked Yes | 33c | 429.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…5da5backed Yes | 23c | 409.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…5f9dbacked Yes | 25c | 408.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 26c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…d07fbacked Yes | 31c | 385.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 28c | 380.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…12ecbacked Yes | 24c | 375.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…cab2backed Yes | 22c | 352.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…6fb8backed Yes | 28c | 351.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…2288backed Yes | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 26c | 349.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 333.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 6c | 326.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 319.49$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…6900backed Yes | 14c | 317.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb80…34c6backed Yes | 23c | 301.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…675cbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 27c | 295.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes | 17c | 280.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 39c | 280.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…b5e5backed Yes | 27c | 269$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…3a52backed Yes | 9c | 265.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 23c | 259.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…2755backed Yes | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 17c | 245.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…0c5ebacked Yes | 14c | 228.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…5b95backed Yes | 31c | 228.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 22c | 225.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 19c | 221.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2c…dd61backed Yes | 16c | 217.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…f1dcbacked Yes | 12c | 212.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 42c | 211.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 13c | 211.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…49b6backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a941backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a22…5534backed Yes | 8c | 193.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…c98abacked Yes | 23c | 188.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…2f99backed Yes | 26c | 181.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.