TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fcc…643f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Cricket, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT14537.9%55 W · 90 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Global Super League: San Francisco Unicorns vs Perth Scorchers XIbacked Perth Scorchers XI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48.45
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+212.1%+$106.06
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$114.28
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$79.77
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlandsbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$186.78
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorganbacked Glamorgan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.92
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.69
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.94
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladeshbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT9515.8%15 W · 80 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+262%+$157.15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.87
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.88
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$92.41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$205.06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$173.73
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$42.44
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5223.1%12 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+197.9%+$59.38
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$89.09
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Austria leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.