Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a94b697b2f0f5a6fe41a83ce225405f215481fd2a84305a50a8d201b17f12d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 18c | 17,827$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.43 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 7c | 7,531$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.56 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 17c | 4,259$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.27 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 30c | 3,998$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.46 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 17c | 3,684$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.75 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 3,478$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.58 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 3c | 3,434$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 67c | 3,332$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.12 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 3c | 3,262$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…645cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,945$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 9c | 2,857$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 39c | 2,807$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.6 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,774$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 13c | 2,693$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.92 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…583ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,524$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,445$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.62 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 11c | 2,306$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.08 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 7c | 2,296$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…08e8backed No | 74c | 2,222$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,183$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 1c | 2,050$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 9c | 2,049$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 29c | 1,963$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.9 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,922$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.95 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 5c | 1,856$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 17c | 1,800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,785$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 25c | 1,630$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.89 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,599$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,366$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.68 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,338$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 79c | 1,294$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes | 12c | 1,285$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked Yes | 4c | 1,244$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 27c | 1,224$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.73 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 1,216$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.63 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,151$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,147$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,127$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.05 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 30c | 1,100$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,054$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 11c | 1,001$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 17.5%31 W · 146 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…b692backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 79c | 891.9$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed Yes | 4c | 890.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes | 13c | 838.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 25c | 790.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…4c7cbacked Yes | 3c | 759.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 2c | 709.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 13c | 700.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed No | 70c | 664.54$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 80c | 642.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 619.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0c26backed Yes | 29c | 614$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 11c | 600$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 30c | 599.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 586.99$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 17c | 573.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 68c | 566.9$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 28c | 547.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 3c | 529.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 252 | 11.5%29 W · 223 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3345…2097backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 21c | 500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…6906backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3758…5c70backed Yes | 21c | 497.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 39c | 497.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Yes | 3c | 473.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…75f3backed No | 64c | 464.78$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 30c | 459.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked No | 67c | 454.85$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 73c | 438.24$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 33c | 431.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…ba10backed Yes | 4c | 428.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 6c | 416.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Yes | 3c | 405.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Yes | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…a20abacked No | 75c | 394.1$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…3853backed No | 63c | 390$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 197 | 22.8%45 W · 152 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 23c | 359$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 26c | 350.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed No | 68c | 350$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 31c | 345.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…c517backed Yes | 6c | 319.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 77c | 300.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 12c | 299.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked Yes | 27c | 289.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 287.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.