Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b6520cc2aca1df4890a66e0b866fa4286c4ba6bc6c736dcca515789c77eb733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 0c | 26,667$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 17c | 21,036$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.67 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 1c | 8,387$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 8c | 5,770$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.32 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 20c | 5,388$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.4 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 75c | 4,322$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.45 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 3c | 3,805$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed No | 1c | 3,551$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 22c | 3,478$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.24 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 53c | 3,204$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.21 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 10c | 3,183$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.34 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 71c | 3,001$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.61 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed No | 4c | 2,742$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 38c | 2,421$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.28 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,419$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.69 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…fccdbacked No | 1c | 2,127$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 28c | 2,020$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.41 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 1,898$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.87 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 8c | 1,860$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,841$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.54 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked Yes | 57c | 1,803$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.74 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked No | 1c | 1,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…e9f3backed No | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 33c | 1,260$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.35 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…a958backed Yes | 59c | 1,213$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 33c | 1,140$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.33 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 1,138$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…c7cbbacked No | 44c | 1,136$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.39 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,135$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 3c | 1,115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 28c | 1,100$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,100$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 51c | 1,055$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.15 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked No | 5c | 998.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 68c | 973.88$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.53 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes | 63c | 947.86$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…75f3backed Yes | 57c | 942.21$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Yes | 66c | 906.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.71 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 75c | 902.93$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 15c | 902$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 63c | 890.57$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.55 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 55c | 884.7$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.99 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 40c | 860.73$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.1 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed Yes | 61c | 802.6$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.31 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 2c | 700.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 10c | 700$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 3c | 697.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 63c | 689.97$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 59c | 638.63$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.63 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…645cbacked No | 32c | 622.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 619.05$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 24c | 599.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 25c | 572.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 32c | 553.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 58c | 544.21$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 26c | 544$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 73c | 513.5$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…0190backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 9c | 499.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed No | 40c | 476.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 30c | 438.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 33c | 419.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…bc44backed No | 38c | 394.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 53c | 376.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 44c | 373$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 217 | 57.6%125 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 54c | 367.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…37babacked No | 30c | 361.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…df40backed No | 46c | 334.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 116 | 24.1%28 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…0d4ebacked No | 43c | 333.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…c9a0backed Yes | 79c | 330$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked No | 40c | 326.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 63c | 316.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 58c | 309.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 56c | 300.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…b31dbacked Yes | 74c | 298.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 69c | 287.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 53c | 279.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c17…ab38backed Yes | 56c | 276.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes | 66c | 272.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…59c1backed Yes | 75c | 255$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 39c | 248.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed No | 20c | 233.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…710dbacked No | 44c | 231.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…75a0backed Yes | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…0e7ebacked No | 30c | 219.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 37c | 218.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 28c | 210$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…1e60backed No | 40c | 207.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 69c | 203.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 33c | 202.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 58c | 200.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 197.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 53c | 196.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0322…08cabacked Yes | 72c | 195.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 66c | 194.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 22c | 186$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.