TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a97…4800

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
889
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT68615.7%108 W · 578 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 686 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$39.99
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.97
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.89
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$37.61
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$23.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.91
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.88
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.96
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.66
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$317.68
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$165.53
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Showing 25 of 686 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5244.2%23 W · 29 L-8.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-33.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovicbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$12.48
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Geneva Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Lorenzo Carbonibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$17.7
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$92.4
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$10.06
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$13.3
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26%+$5.65
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$10.46
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$90.75
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+25.3%+$7.85
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333%1 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$947.58
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.72
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$625.78
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+305.2%+$559.4
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.52
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$742.87
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.03
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.76
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$773.18
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$646.81
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.48
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.66
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.93
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.73
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.52
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.06
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$747.27
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,088.65
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$622.18
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$549.06
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.29
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.33
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.99
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26%+$95.82
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+57.8%+$11.56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$481.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.8%+$10.99
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.9%+$38.64
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.8%+$4.27
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+142.5%+$34.35
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.3%+$16.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.7%+$25.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$345.52
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.37
Will Solana dip to $120 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+94.3%+$315.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,822Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+44%+$801.5
Will Solana dip to $140 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$60.08
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.91
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.2
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$78.06
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$211.4
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+431.4%+$76.99
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$126.95
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+59.3%+$128.54
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+59%+$77.81
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$494.45
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.91
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.5
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+115%+$19.2
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.98
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+92.9%+$16.35
Trump Travel Ban Before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+112.5%+$73.1
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+110.4%+$30.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.1%+$17.27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.45
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.02
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+149.1%+$123.32
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.36
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,996Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+68.3%+$1,362.39
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+764.2%+$298.36
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$12.54
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+69.2%+$8.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.54
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.88
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.9
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.35
Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78%+$865.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$858.13
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$429.4
Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$33.39
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$624.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$44.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,478.3
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.3%+$5.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.