Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a9e7e3fe8d845e25449e9fd7ce4b3e31b4479298e5fb47e0bfa725470a21d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 32c | 16,823$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.55 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 63c | 8,312$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.12 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 33c | 7,672$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.21 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 57c | 6,082$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.24 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 65c | 5,236$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.2 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 52c | 5,228$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.96 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…54a5backed No | 32c | 4,477$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 55c | 4,458$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.34 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 32c | 4,385$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.05 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…dad8backed No | 64c | 3,964$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 40c | 3,796$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.94 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 39c | 3,715$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.61 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 64c | 3,257$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 66c | 2,998$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.48 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…adcabacked No | 53c | 2,987$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…b926backed No | 35c | 2,772$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 42c | 2,172$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 58c | 1,887$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 33c | 1,861$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.72 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 71c | 1,730$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.57 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 74c | 1,702$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.64 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 30c | 1,499$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.7 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 43c | 1,407$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.1 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,395$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.1 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…519abacked No | 40c | 1,354$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,350$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed No | 47c | 1,332$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.68 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 70c | 1,232$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.07 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 58c | 1,153$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.53 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,111$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed Yes | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…1e30backed No | 37c | 1,090$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…f258backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked No | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 63c | 981.12$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.94 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 16c | 888.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 70c | 823$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 59c | 795.41$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.81 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…c4fabacked Yes | 65c | 771.42$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…3fc7backed Yes | 65c | 770$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…2469backed No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 40c | 724.86$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 42c | 713.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 699.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 80c | 652.09$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked No | 35c | 639.01$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…4e67backed No | 32c | 635.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 619.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 62c | 607.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…022cbacked No | 35c | 577.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 43c | 545.45$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.47 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…c6c9backed No | 58c | 513.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…dff7backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 40c | 500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…5ebdbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…d2b7backed Yes | 69c | 500$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 32c | 496.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 55c | 461.83$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 49c | 450.1$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed No | 47c | 427$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -54%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…e2a9backed Yes | 69c | 414.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 72c | 350.41$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed Yes | 68c | 350$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed No | 38c | 312.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…dc30backed No | 34c | 307.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…de7fbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…c0f8backed Yes | 67c | 298.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed Yes | 77c | 292$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 48c | 290.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 40c | 280$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 63c | 263.59$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 69c | 262.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 260.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 63c | 250.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…a6dcbacked No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…52d3backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 60c | 224.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a36…0d0dbacked Yes | 52c | 207.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed Yes | 69c | 203.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…da90backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…1332backed No | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa897…09fabacked Yes | 67c | 199.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 35c | 194$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…abf8backed Yes | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 187.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…1ca2backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…7b8bbacked Yes | 73c | 184.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 34c | 178.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?this page
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Bangladesh before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Cambodia before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on India before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Indonesia before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Japan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Laos before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Pakistan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Africa before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Korea before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Switzerland before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Taiwan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on the European Union before June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.