Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on the European Union before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0d7d67a964c30c598770af8111e547bbbc50fc079de4edf3a9aee62166bf40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x354f…03ebbacked Yes | 64c | 56,612$36,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,380.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…3092backed No | 36c | 56,612$20,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,380.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 15c | 6,015$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.65 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 64c | 4,205$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.24 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 35c | 3,570$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.56 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,657$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.22 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 58c | 1,912$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.22 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 65c | 1,692$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…d59ebacked No | 34c | 1,456$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 46c | 1,455$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.75 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 40c | 1,400$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 77c | 1,393$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.94 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 19c | 1,283$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 71c | 1,182$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 66c | 1,140$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 6c | 1,100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 58c | 1,044$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.02 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…9fc0backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 65c | 835.1$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 2c | 725$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…519abacked No | 47c | 637.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed No | 47c | 614$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…e76dbacked No | 34c | 584.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 67c | 501$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…7df4backed Yes | 69c | 493.5$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…0145backed No | 37c | 476.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…e875backed No | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 65c | 433.34$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 37c | 430$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 53c | 430$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a36…0d0dbacked Yes | 51c | 361.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 317.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 28c | 295.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 23c | 290$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed No | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -54%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…52d3backed Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…5338backed No | 21c | 240.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…ac7fbacked No | 48c | 239.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 65c | 237.13$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…1ca2backed No | 42c | 236.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 16c | 227$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 65c | 215.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…d2b7backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 9c | 186.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 51c | 163$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 51c | 133$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…8145backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…f877backed No | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 124.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 73c | 122.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 40c | 100.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…7eccbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…b9cbbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…099cbacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 49c | 64.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 44c | 62.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…0461backed No | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…c118backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed No | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc27…f631backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed Yes | 45c | 40.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c0…8132backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…2c30backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…8ba9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…c37cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on the European Union before June?this page
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Bangladesh before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Cambodia before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on India before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Indonesia before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Japan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Laos before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Pakistan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Africa before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Korea before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Switzerland before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Taiwan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.