Us Politics · resolved market

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ad06db4383aeccf99329bc835ccd87cb9cde8b1107727e9376a03a99185ac2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $243,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $255,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,684 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4573…51b7backed No	14c	47,122$6,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,597.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…d685backed No	19c	40,765$7,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,745.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed No	14c	2,515$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.34	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked No	13c	1,689$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.06	103	24.3%25 W · 78 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked No	10c	1,500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked No	24c	1,385$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.88	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	72c	1,340$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.74	378	44.4%168 W · 210 L	+33.3wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76b0…338abacked No	11c	1,300$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	3c	1,182$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.34	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed No	19c	1,023$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.02	115	38.3%44 W · 71 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked No	17c	1,022$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.76	113	36.3%41 W · 72 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97ea…9fc0backed No	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes	67c	1,000$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked No	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-76%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf392…df89backed No	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-78%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed No	15c	999.97$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	81	27.2%22 W · 59 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…3e88backed No	17c	994.7$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.03	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcba…8ba9backed No	33c	765.12$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe9…8308backed No	15c	700$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.92	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+7.7wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No	17c	667.8$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.61	236	39.4%93 W · 143 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc616…c449backed Yes	67c	654.25$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.81	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	13c	621.12$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.65	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed No	26c	614.93$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.03	94	26.6%25 W · 69 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked No	16c	609.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2015…3fbfbacked No	4c	600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…9661backed No	15c	569$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.35	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+22.8wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+56%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd602…0105backed No	16c	552.89$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.46	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	17c	518.91$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.26	175	44.6%78 W · 97 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…920ebacked No	20c	505.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x746e…4238backed No	21c	498.61$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+7.2wins	+0.29per pick	43cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed Yes	76c	491.89$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.19	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes	77c	437.28$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.28	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed No	16c	428.14$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.45	161	44.7%72 W · 89 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b91…2709backed Yes	78c	413.34$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.22	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+3.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a7…438dbacked No	16c	387$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.92	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No	17c	355$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.52	84	19%16 W · 68 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…9074backed No	10c	342.92$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.41	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdba2…099cbacked No	15c	341.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed No	17c	300.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.35	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed No	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	284	7.7%22 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked No	10c	288.13$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	16c	270.5$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.88	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	76c	269.98$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.51	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No	17c	251$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.08	303	19.1%58 W · 245 L	-20.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No	33c	250$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Yes	77c	223.17$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc793…a48bbacked No	19c	210.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e0…e28fbacked Yes	80c	209.24$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	78c	200$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	184	45.1%83 W · 101 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed No	13c	159.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	204	46.6%95 W · 109 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…62b4backed No	35c	146.17$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.38	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes	69c	142.56$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.19	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x487c…7795backed No	18c	135$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd41…8ebbbacked Yes	80c	130$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b93…9ec4backed No	64c	130$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.3	126	43.7%55 W · 71 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked No	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	14c	123$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	252	41.7%105 W · 147 L	-17.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01be…7586backed No	19c	110$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed No	10c	108.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	135	25.9%35 W · 100 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92a3…f796backed No	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6718…80d1backed No	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x297a…92e0backed No	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	16c	93.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No	14c	92.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	375	33.3%125 W · 250 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No	28c	88.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	326	26.4%86 W · 240 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3d…615ebacked No	17c	82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	14c	80.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	318	40.3%128 W · 190 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb18…6ed0backed No	21c	74.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…ec66backed No	18c	70$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x364d…89e2backed Yes	65c	65$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa897…09fabacked Yes	80c	62.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b7…29d0backed No	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed No	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	159	24.5%39 W · 120 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	+9.0wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc27…f631backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	28c	49.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-7.2wins	-0.22per pick	37cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No	34c	49.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.99	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes	78c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+7.8wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x13a8…c77bbacked Yes	69c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed Yes	65c	35$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e25…0f29backed Yes	66c	30.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4023…2241backed Yes	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59e2…f359backed Yes	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bd…f258backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?this page
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Bangladesh before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Cambodia before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on India before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Indonesia before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Japan before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Laos before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Pakistan before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Africa before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Korea before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Switzerland before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Taiwan before June?Yes won
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on the European Union before June?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event