TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb18…6ed0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
347
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST8256.1%46 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.3
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40%+$5.79
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.92
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.99
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Will RFK end Influenza vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.05
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$15.43
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+50%+$5.53
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+132%+$15.54
Trump cabinet member out before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$7.41
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$8.22
The 'Bill' Epstein Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$9.34
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+103.8%+$110.93
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+70%+$43.86
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$34.14
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$12.77
Trump approval >45% on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+54.7%+$18.83
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.21
Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.42
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+115.2%+$19.64
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$11.69
Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.88
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$20.8
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$18.64
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.1
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$84.24
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$138.23
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+78.1%+$15.53
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$28.11
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.84
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+89.1%+$20.54
Will the Green Party win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$29.06
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2025, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.04
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+95.2%+$12.08
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.11
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+113.7%+$26.15
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.56
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$12.65
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.61
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.63
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+135.4%+$44.62
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+55%+$14.91
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 72°F or higher on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+115.8%+$33.81
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$10.29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$23.9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+99.9%+$56.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.6
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.07
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$16.47
Will 'The Amateur' make between $16-19m on its domestic opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
Will 'The Amateur' make between $13-16m on its domestic opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 65?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$34.64
Will 'King of Kings' make more than $24m on its domestic opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+239%+$29.61
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$23.27
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.71
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40 and 50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.93
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30 and 40?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$10.36
Will Greg/Gary die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Lochlan die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$5.93
Will Rick Hatchett die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+228.3%+$40.05
Will 'A Working Man' gross between 14-17m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.83
Will 'A Working Man' gross between 11-14m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+158.9%+$267.35
Will 'Opus' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$29.2
Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will 'Black Bag' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9.8
Will 'Novocaine' gross less than 7m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 7-9m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.83
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$13.44
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+63.7%+$24.66
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+118.2%+$54.48
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$9.87
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+89.5%+$21.25
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.33
Will the US add between 50-100k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$10.71
Will the US add between 100-150k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+65.7%+$15.86
Will the US add between 150-200k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.45
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between ≥4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.05
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.85
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+118.1%+$18.29
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.7%+$15.45
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88%+$11.7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.65
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.09
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.51
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.06
DeepSeek R2 released before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+121.8%+$22.39
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$26.88
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$28.35
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.66
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+45%+$13.96
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+339.9%+$58.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$20.31
Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.35
Will South Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$48.53
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+83.9%+$70.28
Will Duke win by 6+ points against Houston?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$10.08
Will Florida win by 3+ points against Auburn?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
March Madness: Will 4 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
March Madness: Will 3 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+40.7%+$18.8
Will Auburn win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Tennessee win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$21.21
Will Texas Tech win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$26.61
Will Florida win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.26
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+93.8%+$29.05
Will Iowa State win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.35
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.5%+$68.26
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.83
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.34
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$18.84
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+67.7%+$12.76
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$38.37
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$15.8
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$28.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.5%+$5.39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+60%+$8.69
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$30.52
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.02
Fed rate cut by June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+115.1%+$37.62
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$66.99
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.3% and 4.4% on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+57.6%+$16.17
Will Fed end QT before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$9.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top Champions League scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$26.48
Will Harry Kane be the top Champions League scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. Francebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.05
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+63.7%+$20.86
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Denmark vs. Portugalbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.37
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$10.36
Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will Azerbaijan qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$18.02
Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.1
Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.17
Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ecuador beat Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Brazil beat Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$10.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$8.5
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rajasthan Royals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$25.54
Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Gujarat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.5%+$79.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$9.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$13.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight ends in Draw/Not Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.