Token Launches · resolved market
Will another coin be the next listed on Robinhood?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b60b9afec4c3dbfa216421cb1def199e17242c966076c74c773241259dc0f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…a85abacked Yes | 33c | 534$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 36c | 240.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed Yes | 5c | 216.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +296.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 7c | 212.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 11c | 142$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 28c | 137.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 61c | 71.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 28c | 53.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 49c | 40.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Yes | 51c | 39.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 61c | 38.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 34.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 38c | 34.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…90f7backed No | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…eaa7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…51bebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another coin be the next listed on Robinhood?this page
- Will $AI16Z be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $APT be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $BERA be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $BITCOIN be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $HYPE be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $IP be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $KAITO be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $PWEASE be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $SPX be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $VIRTUAL be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.