TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd36e…f9ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2025, EDT4165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$8.41
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+240.4%+$31.25
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+74.5%+$17.8
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+58%+$26.09
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+48%+$21.58
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.11
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$11.85
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.06
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$9.46
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$15.78
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.27
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-61.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$15.72
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.76
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.46
Will Trump unfreeze Harvard funding? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.2
Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+172%+$60.2
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$10.96
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-78.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.42
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$422.97
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.32
Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.89
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.11
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Trump tariffs Apple before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.32
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$25.28
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.53
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.88
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.04
All 5 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.