NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66cea59a325d451c55938f1dffa62b297c0273b473a89bb5ebfeb6454aabfcd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Jazz, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 7c | 27,654$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.56 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 7c | 25,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…4a0bbacked Jazz | 2c | 20,687$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Jazz | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e968backed Jazz | 8c | 14,633$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz | 1c | 12,600$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…5c3dbacked Jazz | 8c | 10,202$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…ed07backed Jazz | 8c | 10,168$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jazz | 6c | 10,102$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.11 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1745…7755backed Jazz | 8c | 10,088$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz | 4c | 6,400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 3c | 6,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Jazz | 0c | 5,630$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Jazz | 7c | 3,700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Jazz | 2c | 3,321$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…602cbacked Jazz | 1c | 3,292$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…9726backed Jazz | 1c | 3,232$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Jazz | 3c | 3,110$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz | 8c | 3,100$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…893ebacked Jazz | 1c | 3,004$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jazz | 1c | 2,550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 7c | 2,392$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.47 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Jazz | 1c | 2,252$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…e570backed Jazz | 7c | 2,066$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz | 10c | 2,011$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Jazz | 7c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Jazz | 7c | 1,920$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz | 2c | 1,835$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Jazz | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Jazz | 6c | 1,640$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Jazz | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Jazz | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Jazz | 7c | 1,050$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Jazz | 5c | 1,025$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Jazz | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Jazz | 8c | 999.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Jazz | 4c | 974.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Jazz | 7c | 928$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Jazz | 2c | 732.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 6c | 530.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Jazz | 8c | 519.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Jazz | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Jazz | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Jazz | 4c | 306.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Jazz | 10c | 301.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Jazz | 7c | 288.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Jazz | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Jazz | 8c | 237.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca0…18e2backed Jazz | 8c | 227.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Jazz | 8c | 201.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Jazz | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Jazz | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Jazz | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Jazz | 7c | 179$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Jazz | 9c | 143.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…92efbacked Jazz | 7c | 143.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…ccbdbacked Jazz | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Jazz | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.