Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb78982c5836f531ac38f6c5e9da073844864d2e4d7350156226145f3983dfb82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 73c | 4,425$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.96 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 3,209$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…fa87backed No | 7c | 3,173$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 2,914$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.64 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 25c | 2,913$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.55 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,592$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.21 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 51c | 2,220$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.69 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…be73backed No | 52c | 2,007$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…3d75backed No | 35c | 1,601$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 69c | 1,477$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.08 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 37c | 1,474$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.98 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 27c | 1,415$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.8 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 57c | 1,375$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.85 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…415bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,374$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 55c | 1,200$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.44 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…cfc3backed No | 57c | 1,054$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 64c | 1,026$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.32 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…cab5backed Yes | 57c | 870$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…502bbacked No | 43c | 870$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 65c | 739.34$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 57c | 723.3$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.95 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 25c | 719.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.58 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 12c | 705.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked No | 15c | 678.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 69c | 677.28$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed No | 30c | 660.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 29c | 630.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed No | 35c | 624.28$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.31 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked No | 27c | 620$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 72c | 617.58$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 10c | 600$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 77c | 599.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 52c | 547.11$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.28 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 27c | 538$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 68c | 526.34$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…12c4backed No | 3c | 487.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 18c | 482$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ff…d6d2backed No | 22c | 465.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 27c | 463.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.88 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed No | 27c | 460.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…ce48backed No | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 35c | 440$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…13a2backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 20c | 426$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 36c | 418.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7c…9ad8backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 65c | 393.92$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…b357backed No | 26c | 385.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 68c | 368.43$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 72c | 337.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 22c | 336$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…fd17backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 24c | 320.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…4ee0backed Yes | 66c | 312.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 76c | 252$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 246.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…0d2bbacked No | 24c | 238.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 74c | 199.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…f94bbacked No | 33c | 184.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 25c | 180.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb8…7d13backed No | 28c | 179.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 65c | 171$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…6ff9backed No | 29c | 170.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 38c | 158.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…9938backed No | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…56b9backed No | 69c | 144.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 71cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…4ccabacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 56c | 134.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 32c | 122.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 70c | 119.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 69c | 115.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 65c | 107.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 29c | 104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 50c | 103.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked No | 66c | 101$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed No | 36c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…f6e8backed Yes | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 69c | 80.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 74c | 79.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 58c | 78.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 67c | 76.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6fd8backed No | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.