TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb99…8c33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
571
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.46
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.13
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.25
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+114.1%+$37.84
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.14
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+166.9%+$45.2
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.4%+$10.03
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.7%+$19.58
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.79
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62%+$29.79
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$62.4
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.16
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.48
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.5%+$7.58
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.3%+$12.86
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34%+$15.83
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.5%+$15.33
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.79
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.7
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST9659.4%57 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$8.51
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64.2%+$8.36
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+140.4%+$311.89
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+174%+$50.8
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.5%+$14.02
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+101.5%+$34.57
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$33.11
Bolsonaro guilty?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.96
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.71
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+181.7%+$44.51
NDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.73
Liberal party signs coalition agreement before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$27.96
Will the Conservative Party win between 38% and 41% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will the Conservative Party win between 35% and 38% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.8
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$21.8
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$53.42
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.8
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.66
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.56
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT7852.6%41 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+145.8%+$92.94
Megaquake in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.31
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.38
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.26
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.17ºC in April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.23
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+203.3%+$250.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.56
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+159.7%+$49.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.36
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.23
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$21.56
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$41.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+92%+$37.98
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Will Drake release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+197.5%+$65.71
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+116.7%+$43.69
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+152.6%+$29.47
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+173.1%+$82.62
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$36
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$10.4
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.22
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.65
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.61
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.48
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.71
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+376.8%+$56.5
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+106.6%+$15.72
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$6.46
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+140.7%+$15.03
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.82
Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.98
Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.86
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.34
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.1%+$36.04
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.5%+$64.08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30.24
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.38
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.22
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.42
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$48.54
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+74.2%+$38.25
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $310b on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$32.05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+118.8%+$202
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.45
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$91.02
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.88
ChatGPT #1 app May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.64
DeepSeek R2 released before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+33%+$35.1
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$42.16
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$46.78
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$33.6
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 95 and 97?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$29.49
Will 'Shadow Force' gross between $1.6-2m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+153.7%+$48.42
Will 'Shadow Force' gross more than $2m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.42
Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$16.45
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$165.49
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $77m and 82m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+37.8%+$110.54
Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.92
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $385-400m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+51.4%+$51.29
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.46
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$28.63
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross less than $25m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.04
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross between $25-28m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$72.56
Will 'Star Wars III' gross more than $25m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.32
Will 'Star Wars III' gross between $22-25m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+59%+$48.17
Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 79?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.39
Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$27.26
Will 'Sinners' gross between $49m and $54m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+67.3%+$19.26
Will 'Sinners' gross less than $44m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$145.67
Will 'Sinners' gross between $44m and $49m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.88
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$20.5
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55 and 60?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 65?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will 'King of Kings' make between $21-24m on its domestic opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$9.66
Will 'King of Kings' make more than $24m on its domestic opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$56.91
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+186.3%+$62.5
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$47.38
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$29.87
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$12.21
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$184.04
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$25.17
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.04
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.28
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.89
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$156.3
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+169.2%+$66.5
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.32
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$9.86
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$92.06
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.42
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+178.1%+$34.81
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.96
All 24 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.27
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$71.59
Will Mercedes have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$41.6
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.88
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.06
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.88
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+51.4%+$26.97
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.36
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$39.56
Will Ferrari have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will McLaren have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+77.6%+$24.67
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$79.52
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$39.98
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$12.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.51
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.62
Will Red Bull have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.83
Will Mercedes have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$21.79
All 21 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+300%+$60
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+83.2%+$38.64
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+172%+$28.88
US stagflation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+139.1%+$79.16
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+32%+$19.4
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+76%+$126.3
Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$39.46
Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.93
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+55.5%+$46.75
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.92
Will the April 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.37
Will the April 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$52.91
Will the April 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$13
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+30%+$27.89
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$33.91
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.8
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$66.46
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$12.41
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.2
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$3.97
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+36.8%+$21.72
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+30.7%+$10.29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+161.4%+$28.7
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$27.65
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.79
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+71.8%+$49.94
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$18.26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$16.03
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.53
Fed rate cut by June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$11.4
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$55.21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.55
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+40%+$20.49
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.6%+$27.97
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+46%+$25.2
Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
Shedeur Sanders cut before Week 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.13
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.82
Will Shedeur Sanders be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+102.9%+$34.16
Will Jaxson Dart be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$26.42
Will Jaxson Dart get drafted by the Giants?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.38
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Jaxson Dart?backed Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+596.1%+$151.26
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+177.9%+$34.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.49
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$16
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in Home Runs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+107.1%+$43
Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.4
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$23.47
Will the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$41.38
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+148.5%+$40.21
Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+81.7%+$17.1
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$37.41
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.6%+$10.91
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$20.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$73.96
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.94
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$28.29
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.97
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.16
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.09
Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$43.99
Israel military action on Yemen before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+70%+$122.07
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2025, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$67.36
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$313.5
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.9
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$18.47
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$128.59
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$19.2
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$133.37
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+32%+$45.45
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$140.01
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$30.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$23.8
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.18
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.55
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$44.48
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.12
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$37.39
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Madrid Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$17.6
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Madrid Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$17.9
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Barcelona Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+308.9%+$101.77
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Monte-Carlo Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit win the PGL Astana Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.92
Will The MongolZ win the PGL Astana Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$17.12
Will Vitality win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.79
Will Falcons win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$57.66
Will Spirit win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$28.56
Will Team Falcons win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$43.42
Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.83
Will Falcons win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.08
Will G2 win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+162.9%+$68.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.14
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.7
Will Jayson Tatum Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$19.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.92
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+108.2%+$100.59
Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+230.8%+$111.62
Will a NBA play-in team win a first round series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.54
NBA Playoffs 1st Round: Less than 3 upsets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.57
NBA Playoffs 1st Round: 3 first round upsets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$35.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.49
Farcaster airdrop in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.89
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$68.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid finish second in La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.