F1 · resolved market
Will Mercedes have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9bb81bfbec27138ab132df81beed480d354c2025e223bff7ec39242a74d5d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4736…949dbacked Yes | 43c | 27,018$11,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…651bbacked No | 57c | 27,018$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 11c | 541$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 30c | 384.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Yes | 56c | 215.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c73cbacked Yes | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 21c | 142.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 34c | 136.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…0375backed Yes | 55c | 125.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcb…cc37backed Yes | 42c | 116.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 80.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 35c | 79.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 32c | 45.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 35c | 33.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…9a61backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…947ebacked Yes | 71c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…421bbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed Yes | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mercedes have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alpine have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Ferrari have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will McLaren have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Red Bull have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Williams have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.