Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb4300b08ade8b7a4130406bd8ab9085524e8c3d182a7c52d159a5d287214dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked No | 0c | 150,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 2c | 34,199$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.22 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 76c | 26,570$20,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,376.68 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 79c | 18,877$14,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.58 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 21c | 17,691$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.2 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 51c | 12,801$6,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,585.34 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked No | 17c | 10,545$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 9,150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed No | 0c | 8,853$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 19c | 8,559$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…2d8fbacked No | 10c | 8,071$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…5e5abacked Yes | 14c | 7,088$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 24c | 6,096$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.86 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 7c | 5,730$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…b754backed No | 0c | 5,467$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 27c | 5,039$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.59 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 11c | 4,859$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.46 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 7c | 4,800$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…e39ebacked No | 1c | 4,780$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 12c | 4,500$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.87 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 76c | 4,444$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 3c | 4,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 20c | 3,420$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.06 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 34c | 3,001$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.01 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 1c | 2,873$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 13c | 2,767$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.72 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 56c | 2,596$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.43 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 2c | 2,588$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 21c | 2,528$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.85 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 16c | 1,850$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.63 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 5c | 1,799$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 1,583$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed No | 1c | 1,551$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 20c | 1,500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…4472backed No | 23c | 1,478$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 30c | 1,414$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.99 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed Yes | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.54 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed No | 18c | 1,264$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 19c | 1,260$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…a8b7backed Yes | 73c | 1,209$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 61c | 1,200$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 63c | 1,184$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.95 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed No | 32c | 1,163$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.68 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 77c | 1,144$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 70c | 1,119$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.38 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 21c | 1,105$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 5c | 1,105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 12c | 1,019$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked No | 15c | 1,019$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed No | 4c | 945.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 22c | 929.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 20c | 921.68$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 64c | 913.81$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…951abacked Yes | 76c | 890.08$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked No | 13c | 867.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…0eeebacked No | 24c | 860.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2403…0d6ebacked Yes | 42c | 858$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 74c | 835.52$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 13c | 800$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 18c | 791.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…8aa7backed Yes | 77c | 770$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 5c | 730$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…4b04backed No | 5c | 613.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 11c | 607.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.24 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked No | 10c | 592.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 570.71$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 516.19$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…c296backed No | 8c | 498.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f83backed Yes | 76c | 477.74$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…7d32backed No | 23c | 465.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…44c5backed No | 8c | 463.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…a96ebacked Yes | 79c | 455.82$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…8b05backed No | 31c | 455.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…fb9ebacked Yes | 66c | 452$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed No | 4c | 447$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 30c | 429.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 9c | 426.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 20c | 410.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 9c | 400.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 11c | 363.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 18c | 355$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…e914backed No | 12c | 349.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 48c | 343.61$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 79c | 323.7$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 35c | 320.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.81 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 40c | 320$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…ea89backed Yes | 52c | 303.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…05d0backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 59c | 296.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…4455backed Yes | 15c | 295.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 16c | 290$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 26c | 288.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 13c | 288.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…0ffdbacked Yes | 54c | 276.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 7c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.