CS2 · resolved market
Will Falcons win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ad974f468449255de27f1ea205b003a75b5e4b3872c344b71781a4cf382f765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d83…c7c8backed Yes | 34c | 59,324$20,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,153.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…6c1bbacked No | 66c | 59,324$39,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,153.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 56c | 1,821$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.61 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 67c | 1,000$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.51 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 33c | 930.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.11 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 43c | 794.19$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.89 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 40c | 673.52$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.09 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 38c | 513.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.02 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…9a94backed No | 68c | 367.13$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked Yes | 39c | 308.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…c74bbacked Yes | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 43c | 125.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 32c | 93.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 62c | 84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…c82fbacked Yes | 36c | 74.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed No | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falcons win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?this page
- Will Complexity win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.