CS2 · resolved market
Will G2 win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1c737c3eb683fcbcf6a361ec0a4a5f6e9084ddd52fb5829563773b260661f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 55c | 904.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.34 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 68c | 800$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.64 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 45c | 730$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.3 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 55c | 661.73$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 7c | 443.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes | 5c | 365.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…40d4backed Yes | 67c | 299.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 33c | 267.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 22c | 177.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 62c | 164$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 20c | 160.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 38c | 110.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 103$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 34c | 85.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…02a1backed Yes | 67c | 74.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…c82fbacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed Yes | 66c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed No | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…bbcfbacked Yes | 50c | 47.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…d8b2backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…c83dbacked No | 80c | 15.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will G2 win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?this page
- Will Complexity win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?No won
- Will Falcons win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.