TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe520…28b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT10456.7%59 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$80.02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$32.66
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.61
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.62
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.33
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$16.78
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.42
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$43.37
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$36.33
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.2
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+46%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$18.54
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$50.33
Houston vs. Duke combine for 137+ points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$42.96
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$20.5
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Elon vs. Armybacked Elon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Drake vs. Missouribacked Drake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.76
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Erigaisi vs. Nakamurabacked Nakamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$55.59
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Magnus Carlsen score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$43.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+71.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Giants vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$63.29
Darren Elkins vs. Julian Erosabacked Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+35.1%+$12.3
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
PGL Bucharest: Falcons vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44%+$52.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China-EU trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.