TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes35c21,224$7,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,698.6239842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes41c19,515$7,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,524.141266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No1c17,977$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7717048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No62c16,280$10,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,163.5510845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf745…d12cbacked No66c12,141$8,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,001.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No59c9,678$5,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,751.995853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No45c8,299$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.5121037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No58c7,900$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,580.6936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No63c4,565$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.741471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes58c4,365$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.239244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes38c3,947$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.371338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+92%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed No62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.981747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+306.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No63c2,550$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.243839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed No45c2,353$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.294235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616f…e996backed Yes37c2,099$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.37650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No66c2,056$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.461546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes37c2,047$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.799643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes36c1,687$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes37c1,572$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.373040%12 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No64c1,351$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes35c1,250$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No62c999.98$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9924742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e3…3bb4backed No38c901.26$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…bdf1backed Yes37c854.97$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No30c740.64$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1430754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes55c725$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3257055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.442941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542b…4b76backed Yes73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-69.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51cb…3dd0backed No66c583.39$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5980…a3e6backed Yes38c570.87$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ca…50c3backed Yes38c545.76$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes65c535.47$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.439350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.325242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7581…9679backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.321643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39e6…84ffbacked Yes38c512.76$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Yes38c492.55$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+95.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed No36c467$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.792035%7 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes38c465.79$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.792524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x780a…ffc4backed No63c429.08$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f2…7a3bbacked Yes37c429.08$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…40b7backed No32c421.79$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…9729backed No48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe94e…ac9ebacked Yes38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Yes38c382.68$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4022…46b6backed Yes38c368.74$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes60c367.12$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+70.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked No63c363.9$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x291f…dc62backed No63c359.16$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf8…86fcbacked Yes38c358.11$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fe…e8b4backed No63c355.48$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes63c349.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed No63c318.54$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6840%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86c6…51b1backed No63c296.94$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes36c277.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8d…bf79backed No64c266.19$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.313139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1612230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x95b3…4f0abacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked No63c257.06$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d7…dd52backed No63c254.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes37c251.01$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6516836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No63c250.79$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed No41c249.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.493737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed No63c248.33$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce19…08a6backed No63c244.6$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x393a…b3b2backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes35c211.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.154060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4e…b5efbacked Yes38c205.37$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed No64c204.69$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319645.8%44 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf489…d482backed No64c198.63$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes36c191.33$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.458142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No52c190.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8c…02fcbacked No64c188.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ea…f2d7backed No63c178.59$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.891776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked No36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Yes67c146.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.482937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No63c143.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4517658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf79…945abacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b2…14f3backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Yes37c130$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No65c119.73$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.23580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes64c114.01$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…bcf4backed No46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ffd…05f6backed No45c107$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2611429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.