TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c06…62e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
330
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Weather, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10163.4%64 W · 37 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$14.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+32%+$17.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29%+$7.3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$57.68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$15.82
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$20.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$8.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$20.76
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+67%+$21.9
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+183.5%+$24.98
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$16.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$15.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$49.68
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$32.54
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.12
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.58
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$17.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$457
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.61
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.93
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.24
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$114.25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$66.61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$45.34
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,724.9
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$503.96
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$507.42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,615Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,428.37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$542.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$1,102.29
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.7
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.42
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.72
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.11
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.47
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.81
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$25.43
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,597Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$642.69
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.22
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$322.26
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.99
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.99
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$758
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.99
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$2,094.99
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$317.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$15.82
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$13.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$7.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+323%+$79.89
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+215.4%+$652.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$107.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$63.28
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$6.3
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-69.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.5
Will Jerome Powell say "Cut" 7 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Jerome Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Jerome Powell say "Soft landing" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Jerome Powell say "Growth" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.78
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Jerome Powell say "Tightening" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$12.5
Will Jerome Powell say "Price" 15 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.39
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.42
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.49
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$39.8
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.12
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$79.13
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+153.9%+$38.5
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Verstappen vs. Piastribacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Alonso vs. Strollbacked Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.43
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$58.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$11.17
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$257.86
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$720.4
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.11
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$119.4
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$374.25
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$606.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.66
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+269%+$78.55
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,167.93
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.71
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+71%+$197.25
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-83.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.01
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,268.61
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.49
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.57
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.41
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$85
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.46
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$84.52
Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.05
French Open: Keys vs. Gauff backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,339Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$742.27
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+27%+$244.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+149.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked EXILE esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23.01
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$239.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.89
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.63
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.