Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d85118db7fdb7ba0ab993b5a8708702ad14007a846895fb169a21eabf5dcd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 12c | 876.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 25c | 872.03$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.59 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 44c | 768.73$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.43 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 68c | 684.1$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 50c | 660.93$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 54c | 396.31$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 17c | 293.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 61c | 275.33$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.63 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 22c | 266.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 249$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 229.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 183.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 161.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 74c | 151.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…98dfbacked Yes | 26c | 149.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 70c | 142.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 141.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 17c | 135.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 78c | 124$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 49c | 123.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 11c | 117$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 64c | 116.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 25c | 112.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 22c | 111.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 25c | 103.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…1a0ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 73c | 99.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 28c | 88.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 40c | 82.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 76c | 81.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 25c | 71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…d234backed No | 73c | 68.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 59.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 53.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 75c | 53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked Yes | 49c | 52.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 27c | 51.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…7eb2backed No | 74c | 51.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 30c | 50.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 78c | 50.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 71c | 47.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…38bbbacked Yes | 30c | 47.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 75c | 46.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed Yes | 40c | 46.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 24c | 45.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…fab6backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3f43backed No | 78c | 44.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…1e24backed No | 56c | 43.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…724fbacked No | 74c | 41.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 50c | 41.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…492abacked No | 31c | 37.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 173 | 65.3%113 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 73c | 36.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 34c | 35.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed No | 72c | 34.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 71c | 34.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 78c | 31.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 71c | 31.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf9…5211backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…96e1backed No | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 76c | 29.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…c553backed No | 77c | 28.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 77c | 27.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 75c | 26.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 74c | 24.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 76c | 23.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 69c | 22.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…da6ebacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…35c4backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f2…c2a5backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 72c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 55c | 18.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…ce48backed No | 54c | 18.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 76c | 17.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bd…9712backed Yes | 78c | 16.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…7347backed No | 75c | 14.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.