TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87bd…9712

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 45°F or below on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.93
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.35
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+502.6%+$143.75
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+62%+$9.03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$5.88
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$6.03
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$13.59
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$56.51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$6.27
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$6.54
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$7.11
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$66.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.13
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$103.98
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$66.96
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.06
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.56
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$20.48
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+102%+$20.93
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.87
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.06
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$17.42
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$5.21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$9.17
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$11.39
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$11.64
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$21.76
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.63
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.84
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$12.15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.65
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$14.98
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$7.13
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.94
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$39.25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$9.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$14.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+77.2%+$14.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.