TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof LYON, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$392,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked Team Liquid49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,400.1420339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LYON49c30,425$14,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,821.5267760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON56c28,500$15,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,872.7391854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Liquid44c25,718$11,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,402.032240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid44c25,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.791,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed LYON51c20,500$10,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,45527735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LYON49c16,708$8,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,106.61,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid52c12,560$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,977.0576142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid54c12,549$6,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,801.4195041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed LYON10c10,880$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.2389347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid46c8,000$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.721,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid49c8,000$3,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.8285442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid47c7,999$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.781,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked LYON51c7,350$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.59636.5%35 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Liquid48c5,675$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.8467552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed LYON50c5,343$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.3951044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked Team Liquid78c4,439$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.733066.7%20 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Team Liquid44c4,328$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.369621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed LYON56c3,361$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.1615146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked LYON41c3,328$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.2267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed LYON22c3,170$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8319041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LYON55c3,168$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.5983560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Team Liquid63c3,132$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.191,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked LYON52c2,948$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.4117647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed LYON53c2,942$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55921749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed LYON54c2,931$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.0960354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid78c2,534$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.7446258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked LYON2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…0e69backed LYON40c2,368$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9475244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON56c2,324$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.441,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked LYON30c2,250$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.4911145%50 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Team Liquid61c2,171$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.9163546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked LYON44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9915147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked LYON31c1,982$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.3663352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed LYON50c1,904$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.0811643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Team Liquid61c1,900$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.321,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed LYON59c1,780$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05024658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LYON55c1,650$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.51,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid42c1,617$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.1647838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed LYON55c1,600$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.994637%17 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked LYON63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026844%118 W · 150 L-37.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3cd0…08f6backed Team Liquid45c1,573$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.15952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.991,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid44c1,484$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.331,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid77c1,483$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.238439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked LYON50c1,413$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.8511059.1%65 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Team Liquid45c1,405$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.7517439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked LYON63c1,274$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid69c1,220$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7123341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Team Liquid46c1,182$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa59…cc28backed LYON56c1,174$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.571442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Liquid56c1,103$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.2569041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Team Liquid45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6059457.4%54 W · 40 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed LYON43c1,085$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.4966458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed LYON56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60057947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Liquid63c1,037$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.9575342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked LYON1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed LYON1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5607339.7%29 W · 44 L-9.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid44c990.14$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.7742941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed LYON56c964.29$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54033857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ea…3668backed LYON44c950$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.511246.4%52 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed LYON54c949.98$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.994540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Team Liquid46c930.43$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4345041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid72c859.97$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Team Liquid62c849.51$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.826344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed LYON55c830$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.520454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed LYON55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44046263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed LYON55c799.91$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.591,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed LYON41c787.2$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.011,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Liquid65c784.29$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3886943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid45c766.02$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON40c742.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON51c739.07$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.931,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LYON47c735.63$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.91,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed LYON34c726.44$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0347933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid48c702.04$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.581,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed LYON25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513854.3%75 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid61c660.61$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.061,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed LYON54c608.26$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32679864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Team Liquid45c605.42$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9843358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Team Liquid46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32428448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Team Liquid44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed LYON42c599.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Team Liquid62c550$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20912052.5%63 W · 57 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Team Liquid61c543.51$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9739055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LYON43c536.36$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23080150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LYON44c517.3$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.951,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed LYON47c506.91$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23923149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Team Liquid42c479.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.423740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed LYON31c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12223943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LYON55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22057151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b7…fbcfbacked Team Liquid64c400$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14527367%183 W · 90 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked LYON31c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12229942.8%128 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed LYON31c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12221242%89 W · 123 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked LYON55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22033251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked LYON51c395.81$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8618335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed LYON29c390.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2438342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked LYON55c381$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4548143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed LYON54c377.27$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20535560.8%216 W · 139 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.