Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e064acf4419dfcb54f3ef0018119dad1f8d7943c89b610e4b66757f03df944e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof LYON, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 25,716$16,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000.75 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked LYON | 35c | 24,789$8,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,676.15 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed LYON | 33c | 4,455$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.15 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed Team Liquid | 67c | 3,361$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.71 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked LYON | 35c | 1,070$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 724.47$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 654.8$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed LYON | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed LYON | 35c | 319.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed LYON | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed LYON | 36c | 233.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 211$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked LYON | 36c | 201.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LYON | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed LYON | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed LYON | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Team Liquid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Team Liquid | 63c | 110.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed LYON | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LYON | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…16cbbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 46.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 67c | 28.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Team Liquid | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Team Liquid | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.